Wed 16 Feb 2011, 13:46 GMT

Global Vision Market Report



Technical indicators: neutral to bullish

Crude oil futures rebounded from an 11-week low on signs U.S. stockpiles are shrinking and as political protests in the Middle East spread to other Middle East countries like Libya and Bahrain.

Oil futures settled at their lowest price in over two months last night as concerns about high U.S. crude supplies overtook worries of spreading unrest in the Middle East. The WTI breached its first support line at 84.60 US dollars and many stop-loss orders were followed.

ICE Gasoil contract for March delivery settled at 867.00 dollars Tuesday night. This was 4.50 dollars below Monday's settlement. Volume with some 85,500 deals well above average.

The Stochastic of ICE Brent is bearish today, while the Stochastic of NYMEX C.Oil remains in the overbought area, but with no clear signals. The Brent has a short-term support line at 101.65 dollars, should this line be breached many stop-loss selling orders will be triggered. The first support for the WTI crude is seen at 84.30 dollars, the first resistance at 85.45 dollars. The brent's first support is at 101.65 dollars, the first resistance at 103.80 dollars.

U.S.

Nymex Acces flat: Oil futures are flat in Asian trading hours and electronic Globex trade this morning, taking their breath after Tuesday's hefty losses. The traded volume is far below average.

API's: crude oil -0.354; distillates -1.176; gasoline +1.235 million barrels vs previous week. Refinery utilization -2.7% Cushing +0.250

DOE's: due out tonight.

Forecasts: crude oil +1.200; distillates -1.200; gasoline +0.800 million barrels vs previous week. Refinery utilization -0.2%

Houston (ex-wharf indications 15/2)

380 cst $577
180 cst $597
MDO $913

Very tight avails for 180 cst

New Orleans (ex wharf indications 15/2)

380 cst $579
180 cst $600
MDO $916

Singapore (correct as of 1430hrs LT - delivered indications)

Crude is gaining some bearish momentum with WTI -$0.80 Singapore paper is turning bearish again as well with -$7.10 for 180 cst and -$7.55 for 380 cst for March, and for Apr 180 cst -$7.15 and 380cst -$7.55 with MGO March contracts at -$1.41 and for Apr at -$1.42 The cargo market is ignoring the drops with 180cst +$11.84, 380cst +$11.87 and MGO +$2.06.

The Singapore fuel oil was up app. $12.00 during the Platts window yesterday. The Singapore market continues to be weigh down by tight supplies as cargo premium remains more than $12.00/mt and the bunker delivered premium maintaining more than $22.50/bbl above cargo price. Bunker fuel swaps lost a few dollars along the curve both in Rotterdam and Singapore though losses were more pronounced in Singapore papers where change in the front of forward curve was more than -$2.00/mt. Forward curve remains backwardated in both markets- remarkably more pronounced in Singapore papers where Calendar 12 Swaps are offered at more than $25.00 discount versus spot price. This morning both markets are trading slightly lower.

High premiums for prompt deliveries.

380 cst $619
180 cst $632
MDO $870

Fujairah (delivered indications 16-2)

380cst: $628
180cst: $668
MGO: $943

Rotterdam

Indications for delivered bunkers:

380cst: $566
(1.0%): $580
180cst: $579
(1.0%): $595 (very low avails)
MGO 0.1%S: $863

MGO  

Methanol bunker fuel delivery. World Fuel Services and West Coast Clean Fuels launch methanol bunkering across US ports  

First over-the-water methanol delivery completed in South Florida with Coast Guard-approved procedures.

Valerie Ahrens. Burando Energies appoints Valerie Ahrens as global head of methanol  

Ahrens brings more than 30 years of energy sector experience to the marine fuels supplier.

New Sea Generation (NSG) logo. New Sea Generation seeks junior bunker trader in Greece  

Greek bunker firm advertises role requiring commitment to demanding work schedule and operational responsibilities.

Person signing a document. IINO Lines secures sustainable shipping finance for methanol dual-fuel VLCC  

Japanese shipowner signs impact financing agreement with Mizuho Bank for alternative-fuel tanker.

Fluxys logo. Fluxys Belgium reports EUR74.9m profit as LNG flows surge and hydrogen infrastructure begins  

Belgian gas infrastructure operator’s 2025 net profit fell 8.8% amid hydrogen and CO₂ investments.

VPS logo. Shale oil components detected in Singapore marine fuel | VPS  

VPS testing identifies 90,000 mt of delivered VLSFO containing Estonian shale oil compounds.

Constantinos Capetanakis, Star Bulk. IBIA chair completes two-year term, citing expansion in regulatory engagement and membership  

Outgoing chair to remain on Global Board and lead Future Fuels and Bunker Buyers’ working groups.

Aerial view of a container vessel. LNG and methanol investments risk becoming 'dead ends' for shipping decarbonisation, UCL study finds  

Research warns transitional marine fuels may lock in fossil infrastructure rather than enabling an ammonia pathway.

Vitalii Protasov, GENA Solutions Oy. Protasov: Renewable fuel supply could meet shipping demand, but offtake agreements remain a barrier  

GENA Solutions CEO highlights project pipeline growth but warns regulatory uncertainty hampers investment decisions.

Frontier Venture vessel. Wah Kwong takes delivery of first LNG-ready LR2 tanker with Bureau Veritas SMART notation  

Frontier Venture is first in newbuild series to achieve Group 3 'augmented ship' capabilities.