Fri 30 Nov 2018, 10:25 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were at $59.68 per barrel at 07:42 GMT, up 17 cents, or 0.3 percent, from their last close, and U.S. WTI crude futures were at 51.41, down 4 cents. As the week ends, we can reflect on the fact that crude oil has lost around a third of its value since the start of October. Imagine if that was you and you lost within a couple of months a third of your income, you'd be pretty peeved, and struggling to think how to plug gaps made by such a fall. I'm sure the Saudi Finance minister or Putin are thinking the same. As for economies heavily reliant on crude, it's tighten belts or policy change, and I guess the start of next month will show us the direction they wish to take. Good weekend to all.

Fuel Oil Market (Nov 29)

The front crack opened at -5.15, weakening to -5.40, before strengthening to -5.00, closing -5.10. The Cal 19 was valued at -11.45.

Asia's fuel oil market softened as concerns over constricted near-term supplies eased amid expectations of steady arbitrage arrivals over the next few weeks.

The December 380 cSt barge fuel oil crack to Brent crude was trading at about minus $5.50 a barrel on Thursday, down from a discount of $4.54 a barrel earlier in the day, the brokers said.

On Wednesday, the front-month crack settled at minus $4.54 a barrel and was down from a more than two-year high of minus $3.45 a barrel on Nov. 23.

Singapore fuel oil inventories climbed for the second straight week to a more than four-month high in the week ended Nov. 28, although net imports declined to a three-week low. Total fuel oil flows into East Asia for November rebounded firmly from October's two-year low, closing at about 7.25 million tonnes, the highest since January 2017.

Economic Events:

* G-20 Leaders' Summit, Buenos Aires, with leaders including Russia's Vladimir Putin, Canada's Justin Trudeau and Mexico's Enrique Pena Nieto to attend. U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping tentatively agree to discuss trade. 1st day of 2 .

* 6:00pm Baker Hughes rig count.

* EIA Monthly Crude Oil and Natural Gas Production report.

* ICE weekly commitments of traders report for Brent, gasoil, ~1:30pm ET (~6:30 pm London).

* CFTC weekly commitments of traders report on various U.S. futures and options contracts, 3:30pm.

Singapore 380 cSt

Dec18 - 382.25 / 384.25

Jan19 - 372.00 / 374.00

Feb19 - 365.75 / 367.75

Mar19 - 360.50 / 362.50

Apr19 - 355.50 / 357.50

May19 - 350.25 / 352.25

Q1-19 - 366.25 / 368.25

Q2-19 - 351.00 / 353.00

Q3-19 - 332.75 / 335.25

Q4-19 - 308.25 / 310.75

CAL19 - 336.75 / 339.75

CAL20 - 286.75 / 292.75

Singapore 180 cSt

Dec18 - 385.50 / 387.50

Jan19 - 376.25 / 378.25

Feb19 - 371.00 / 373.00

Mar19 - 367.00 / 369.00

Apr19 - 362.75 / 364.75

May19 - 358.25 / 360.25

Q1-19 - 371.50 / 373.50

Q2-19 - 358.75 / 360.75

Q3-19 - 343.75 / 346.25

Q4-19 - 324.25 / 326.75

CAL19 - 346.75 / 349.75

CAL20 - 309.75 / 315.75

Rotterdam 3.5%

Dec18 - 347.00 / 349.00

Jan19 - 339.75 / 341.75

Feb19 - 335.50 / 337.50

Mar19 - 331.50 / 333.50

Apr19 - 327.75 / 329.75

May19 - 323.75 / 325.75

Q1-19 - 335.75 / 337.75

Q2-19 - 324.00 / 326.00

Q3-19 - 307.00 / 309.50

Q4-19 - 279.50 / 282.00

CAL19 - 308.75 / 311.75

CAL20 - 263.75 / 269.75

0.1% Rott barges Gasoil

Dec18 - 543.78 / 545.78

Jan19 - 541.67 / 543.67

Feb19 - 542.24 / 544.24

Mar19 - 544.17 / 546.17

Apr19 - 545.36 / 547.36

May19 - 547.39 / 549.39

Q1-19 - 543.36 / 545.36

Q2-19 - 547.46 / 549.46

Q3-19 - 555.36 / 557.86

Q4-19 - 562.46 / 565.46

CAL19 - 550.60 / 554.60

CAL20 - 569.59 / 575.59

Sing GO 10ppm

Dec18 - 72.42 / 72.62

Jan19 - 72.82 / 73.02

Feb19 - 73.24 / 73.44

Mar19 - 73.59 / 73.79

Apr19 - 73.86 / 74.06

May19 - 74.08 / 74.28

Q1-19 - 73.11 / 73.51

Q2-19 - 73.97 / 74.37

Q3-19 - 74.93 / 75.23

Q4-19 - 75.78 / 76.18

CAL19 - 74.34 / 74.94

CAL20 - 75.90 / 76.50


Areion vessel. Dorian LPG takes delivery of dual-fuel VLGC capable of carrying ammonia  

The 93,000-cbm Areion can run on LPG or fuel oil and transport ammonia cargoes.

FSRU Toscana alongside Green Zeebrugge vessel. RINA awards ISCC EU certification to OLT Offshore LNG Toscana for bio-LNG supply  

Certification enables bio-LNG use in the EU as a renewable fuel under RED II and RED III directives.

World Shipping Council at IMO meeting. WSC calls for safe maritime corridor as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped in the Persian Gulf  

Industry body urges IMO member states to establish safe passage and supply access.

Graphic promoting Auramarine webinar titled 'Sustainable Fueling Part 3: Ammonia - next alternative fuel in marine'. Auramarine to host webinar on ammonia as marine fuel in April  

Finnish firm will explore ammonia’s role in maritime decarbonisation at its third spring webinar.

Front cover of study by WinGD and Envision Energy titled 'Renewable Fuel Economics: An OPEX illustration based on current costs'. Green ammonia could reach cost parity with VLSFO and LNG by 2050, study finds  

WinGD and Envision Energy study projects green ammonia operational costs competitive with conventional marine fuels.

Elenger Marine's LNG bunkering vessel Optimus alongside Brittany Ferries’ Saint-Malo. Bureau Veritas verifies methane emissions on Brittany Ferries’ LNG vessels  

Verification enables ferry operator to report measured methane slip instead of regulatory default values.

Map showing existing and planned Emission Control Areas (ECAs). Alliance calls for urgent black carbon action as new Arctic emission control areas take effect  

Canadian Arctic and Norwegian Sea ECAs now in force, with compliance deadline set for March 2027.

Artistic impression of battery-electric ferry for operation on Perth’s Swan River. Lloyd’s Register to class Western Australia’s first electric ferry fleet  

Echo Marine Group partners with Lloyd’s Register on five battery-electric ferries for Perth’s Swan River.

Thomas Kazakos, secretary general of The International Chamber of Shipping (ICS). ICS condemns Middle East shipping attacks as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped  

Industry body calls for urgent state action to resupply vessels and enable crew changes.

Molslinjen ferry illustration. Molslinjen order propels Australia to top of battery vessel production rankings  

Danish ferry operator’s three-catamaran order at Incat Tasmania shifts global manufacturing landscape, analysis shows.