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Thu 24 May 2018, 07:00 GMT

Inventories, Iran and OPEC in spotlight


By A/S Global Risk Management.


Michael Poulson, Global Risk Management.
Image credit: Global Risk Management
Yesterday's weekly oil inventories deviated hugely from expectations and sent oil prices down, but only for a short blip. Comments from Iranian leader likely supported oil prices, making markets ignore the fairly bearish oil inventory report.

Brent oil price shortly touched $78.4 before heading back upwards to current levels of around $79.5. According to the weekly oil inventory report from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), U.S. crude oil inventories grew by 5.8 mio. barrels, gasoline by 1.88 mio. barrels, while distillates fell by 0.95 mio. barrels.

Iran's leader commented on the nuclear deal, addressing the European countries which signed the lifting of sanctions against the country in 2015. According to the Iranian supreme leader, "European banks should safeguard trade with the Islamic Republic. We do not want to start a fight with these three countries, but we don't trust them either". The comments are made after U.S. president a couple of weeks ago withdrew from the deal.

As oil prices increase, focus is increasingly turning to the OPEC/non-OPEC meeting next month. Talks are that some of the oil producers could offset the potential supply disruptions from Iran (sanctions being re-imposed) and Venezuela (production dwindling on economic havoc). OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers last year agreed to curb output by 1.8 mio. barrels per day in order to bring global oil inventories back to 5-year average and re-balance the oil market.

Turning to economic data, today sees a row of central bank speeches (ECB, BoE, Fed) and the ECB publishes account of monetary policy meeting this afternoon.


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The 93,000-cbm Areion can run on LPG or fuel oil and transport ammonia cargoes.

FSRU Toscana alongside Green Zeebrugge vessel. RINA awards ISCC EU certification to OLT Offshore LNG Toscana for bio-LNG supply  

Certification enables bio-LNG use in the EU as a renewable fuel under RED II and RED III directives.

World Shipping Council at IMO meeting. WSC calls for safe maritime corridor as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped in the Persian Gulf  

Industry body urges IMO member states to establish safe passage and supply access.

Graphic promoting Auramarine webinar titled 'Sustainable Fueling Part 3: Ammonia - next alternative fuel in marine'. Auramarine to host webinar on ammonia as marine fuel in April  

Finnish firm will explore ammonia’s role in maritime decarbonisation at its third spring webinar.

Front cover of study by WinGD and Envision Energy titled 'Renewable Fuel Economics: An OPEX illustration based on current costs'. Green ammonia could reach cost parity with VLSFO and LNG by 2050, study finds  

WinGD and Envision Energy study projects green ammonia operational costs competitive with conventional marine fuels.

Elenger Marine's LNG bunkering vessel Optimus alongside Brittany Ferries’ Saint-Malo. Bureau Veritas verifies methane emissions on Brittany Ferries’ LNG vessels  

Verification enables ferry operator to report measured methane slip instead of regulatory default values.

Map showing existing and planned Emission Control Areas (ECAs). Alliance calls for urgent black carbon action as new Arctic emission control areas take effect  

Canadian Arctic and Norwegian Sea ECAs now in force, with compliance deadline set for March 2027.

Artistic impression of battery-electric ferry for operation on Perth’s Swan River. Lloyd’s Register to class Western Australia’s first electric ferry fleet  

Echo Marine Group partners with Lloyd’s Register on five battery-electric ferries for Perth’s Swan River.

Thomas Kazakos, secretary general of The International Chamber of Shipping (ICS). ICS condemns Middle East shipping attacks as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped  

Industry body calls for urgent state action to resupply vessels and enable crew changes.

Molslinjen ferry illustration. Molslinjen order propels Australia to top of battery vessel production rankings  

Danish ferry operator’s three-catamaran order at Incat Tasmania shifts global manufacturing landscape, analysis shows.


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