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Tue 16 Jan 2018, 09:07 GMT

Brent tested $70 several times and closed at highest level in three years


By A/S Global Risk Management.



Brent oil price tested $70 several times yesterday and closed above - the highest close in more than three years. At the time of writing, Brent price is just below $70.

Several OPEC members and non-OPEC member Russia have over the past days repeated that the current oil production cut deal will remain throughout 2018 despite the current elevated oil price levels. Target of the production cut deal is to bring down global crude oil inventories to five-year average and stabilise prices.

Meanwhile, all eyes are on U.S. shale oil production. The current oil price level seems highly attractive for shale oil producers and last week's oil rig count showed an increase in the number of active rigs of 10. Further, market drums speak of shale oil producers having hedged a large portion of their flow out until 2020 - meaning they would be able to keep pumping even during a drop in prices without losing money. Shale oil wells - compared to conventional wells - are relatively easily opened and closed by producers as prices and conditions change. Unlike conventional wells, shale oil wells deplete at a rapid pace and the average lifespan of a shale oil well is around 3 years. So drillers need to open new wells in order to keep production flowing.

Note: due to yesterday's holiday in the U.S., the inventory reports are a day delayed and oil stocks data from the American Petroleum Institute will therefore be published tomorrow evening instead of tonight. The same goes for the EIA oil inventory report, which is published Thursday afternoon.

Turning to economic data, today sees UK CPI and PPI (inflation data). Tomorrow, Eurozone inflation is published.


Petrobras and Transpetro signing ceremony. Petrobras and Transpetro order 41 vessels worth $470m for fleet renewal  

Brazilian state oil companies contract gas carriers, barges and pushboats from domestic shipyards.

European Commission headquarters. EU proposes phase-out of high-risk biofuels from renewable energy targets by 2030  

Draft regulation sets linear reduction trajectory starting in 2024, with contribution reaching zero by end of decade.

Vessel with H2SITE ammonia cracking system. H2SITE launches Norwegian subsidiary to advance ammonia-to-power technology for maritime sector  

Spanish technology firm establishes Bergen hub to accelerate deployment of ammonia cracking systems for shipping.

CMA CGM Monte Cristo vessel. CMA CGM names 400th owned vessel as methanol-fuelled containership  

French shipping line reaches fleet ownership milestone with 15,000-teu dual-fuel methanol vessel.

Methanol bunkering operation at Yantian Port. Wah Kwong adds China’s first dual-fuel methanol bunkering vessel to managed fleet  

Da Qing 268 completed maiden operation at Shenzhen’s Yantian Port on 21 January.

Tomas Harju-Jeanty and Kalle Härkki. Sumitomo SHI FW licenses VTT syngas technology for sustainable fuels plants  

Agreement enables production of green methanol and SAF from biowaste for global gasification projects.

Hydromover 1.0 vessel. Yinson GreenTech launches upgraded electric cargo vessel in Singapore, expands to UAE  

Hydromover 2.0 offers increased energy storage capacity and can be fully recharged in under two hours, says designer.

Nildeep Dholakia, Island Oil. Island Oil appoints Nildeep Dholakia as senior trader in Dubai  

Marine fuel supplier expands Dubai team as part of regional growth strategy.

Wind-assisted LNG carrier AIP certification ceremony. Dalian Shipbuilding's wind-assisted LNG carrier design receives Bureau Veritas approval  

Design combines dual-fuel propulsion with foldable wing sails to cut emissions by 2,900 tonnes annually.

Dual naming ceremony of the GH Angelou and GH Christie vessels. Anglo-Eastern adds two methanol-ready Suezmax tankers to managed fleet  

GH Angelou and GH Christie were christened at HD Hyundai Samho Shipyard on 5 January.


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