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Tue 16 Jan 2018, 09:07 GMT

Brent tested $70 several times and closed at highest level in three years


By A/S Global Risk Management.



Brent oil price tested $70 several times yesterday and closed above - the highest close in more than three years. At the time of writing, Brent price is just below $70.

Several OPEC members and non-OPEC member Russia have over the past days repeated that the current oil production cut deal will remain throughout 2018 despite the current elevated oil price levels. Target of the production cut deal is to bring down global crude oil inventories to five-year average and stabilise prices.

Meanwhile, all eyes are on U.S. shale oil production. The current oil price level seems highly attractive for shale oil producers and last week's oil rig count showed an increase in the number of active rigs of 10. Further, market drums speak of shale oil producers having hedged a large portion of their flow out until 2020 - meaning they would be able to keep pumping even during a drop in prices without losing money. Shale oil wells - compared to conventional wells - are relatively easily opened and closed by producers as prices and conditions change. Unlike conventional wells, shale oil wells deplete at a rapid pace and the average lifespan of a shale oil well is around 3 years. So drillers need to open new wells in order to keep production flowing.

Note: due to yesterday's holiday in the U.S., the inventory reports are a day delayed and oil stocks data from the American Petroleum Institute will therefore be published tomorrow evening instead of tonight. The same goes for the EIA oil inventory report, which is published Thursday afternoon.

Turning to economic data, today sees UK CPI and PPI (inflation data). Tomorrow, Eurozone inflation is published.


Tsurugidake naming ceremony. MOL holds naming ceremony for fourth LNG dual-fuel VLCC  

Vessel, named Tsurugidake, features an LNG fuel tank with a capacity exceeding 10,000 cbm.

VPS Carbon Reduction seminar graphic. VPS to host Bergen seminar on marine fuel quality, lubricants and decarbonisation regulation  

Free-to-attend event on September 16 will feature speakers from VPS and DNV.

Launching ceremony of Carlotta Cosulich. Cosulich Marine Energy launches third methanol-ready bunker tanker in China  

Carlotta Cosulich launched at Taizhou Maple Leaf Shipyard, leaving one vessel in series still to come.

Carnival Corporation logo. Carnival's CSMART seeks specialist instructor for LNG-as-fuel training in Netherlands  

Role focused on delivering training to through classroom instruction and simulator-based learning.

Port of Galveston. Stabilis Solutions nears 100 LNG bunkering operations at Galveston  

Houston-based supplier highlights its Gulf Coast LNG bunkering record as plans advance for new liquefaction facility.

Central control room at the green methanol plant. Towngas hosts Hong Kong government delegation at Inner Mongolia green methanol plant  

Hong Kong's Transport and Logistics Bureau tours VENEX facility as green methanol capacity scales to 300,000 tonnes.

CMA CGM Notre Dame vessel at Singapore Port. Singapore 12-month bunker calls hit all-time high in July  

TTM calls at world's largest bunkering hub reach record levels despite softer sales volumes.

Cargo port in Singapore. Singapore T3M bunker sales stay below 14m tonnes for fourth month running  

Rolling three-month volumes remain subdued despite modest month-on-month recovery in July.

Shore power system launch at Port of Callao. Peru’s Port of Callao launches first shore power system in Latin America  

DP World Callao’s onshore power supply system could cut over 6,300 tonnes of CO₂ annually.

Aristodimos vessel. New Times Shipbuilding delivers LNG dual-fuel crude oil tanker to Capital  

Chinese yard hands over 155,500-dwt vessel in ceremony attended by owner’s representative.


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