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Tue 16 Jan 2018, 09:07 GMT

Brent tested $70 several times and closed at highest level in three years


By A/S Global Risk Management.



Brent oil price tested $70 several times yesterday and closed above - the highest close in more than three years. At the time of writing, Brent price is just below $70.

Several OPEC members and non-OPEC member Russia have over the past days repeated that the current oil production cut deal will remain throughout 2018 despite the current elevated oil price levels. Target of the production cut deal is to bring down global crude oil inventories to five-year average and stabilise prices.

Meanwhile, all eyes are on U.S. shale oil production. The current oil price level seems highly attractive for shale oil producers and last week's oil rig count showed an increase in the number of active rigs of 10. Further, market drums speak of shale oil producers having hedged a large portion of their flow out until 2020 - meaning they would be able to keep pumping even during a drop in prices without losing money. Shale oil wells - compared to conventional wells - are relatively easily opened and closed by producers as prices and conditions change. Unlike conventional wells, shale oil wells deplete at a rapid pace and the average lifespan of a shale oil well is around 3 years. So drillers need to open new wells in order to keep production flowing.

Note: due to yesterday's holiday in the U.S., the inventory reports are a day delayed and oil stocks data from the American Petroleum Institute will therefore be published tomorrow evening instead of tonight. The same goes for the EIA oil inventory report, which is published Thursday afternoon.

Turning to economic data, today sees UK CPI and PPI (inflation data). Tomorrow, Eurozone inflation is published.


Delivery ceremony of Maran Myrto vessel. New Times Shipbuilding cuts steel on two crude tankers and delivers LNG dual-fuel vessel  

Chinese yard marks a busy 4 June with steel-cutting ceremonies and a tanker delivery to Maran.

Christening ceremony of Mercedes Pinto vessel. Baleària Canarias christens €128m dual-fuel fast ferry Mercedes Pinto for inter-island routes  

The catamaran will connect Tenerife, Gran Canaria and Fuerteventura with six daily departures.

AiP award ceremony for LPG dual-fuel 1,400-teu container vessel design. DNV awards AiP to HHI for LPG dual-fuel container vessel design  

Approval in principle granted for ship design targeting the underserved smaller container segment.

Olivier Josse, Alberto Pérez Espinosa and Luke Shu. Seascale Energy partners with Lloyd’s Register Advisory to build decarbonisation expertise  

The bunker firm has launched a knowledge partnership covering low-carbon fuels and maritime regulations.

CSL Kuleana vessel. CSL takes delivery of methanol-ready Kamsarmax as fleet renewal programme advances  

MV CSL Kuleana departs on maiden voyage, equipped with Tier III engines.

Peter Keller, SEA-LNG. LNG orderbook share hits 90% as methane pathway investment holds firm  

LNG bunkering volumes surge and biomethane uptake grows six-fold, despite geopolitical headwinds.

Vessel at sea with Graphyte and NYK Line logos. NYK to offset ship emissions with CDR credits from Loblolly project  

Japanese shipping group turns to biomass-based carbon sequestration to address residual maritime emissions.

Close-up view of a KESS vessel. K Line orders four LNG dual-fuel car carriers for European short-sea operations  

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha contracts quartet of 1,380-vehicle vessels at China Merchants Jinling Shipyard.

Bunge logo. Bunge seeks bunker purchaser for Rotterdam operation  

Agribusiness is looking for candidates with experience in marine fuel procurement.

Launching ceremony of a 38,000-dwt chemical tanker with hull no. XY169. First vessel in NYK Stolt Tankers’ newbuild series launched in China  

FKAB-designed 38,000 DWT chemical tanker launched at Nantong Xiangyu Shipyard, China.


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