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Tue 16 Jan 2018, 09:07 GMT

Brent tested $70 several times and closed at highest level in three years


By A/S Global Risk Management.



Brent oil price tested $70 several times yesterday and closed above - the highest close in more than three years. At the time of writing, Brent price is just below $70.

Several OPEC members and non-OPEC member Russia have over the past days repeated that the current oil production cut deal will remain throughout 2018 despite the current elevated oil price levels. Target of the production cut deal is to bring down global crude oil inventories to five-year average and stabilise prices.

Meanwhile, all eyes are on U.S. shale oil production. The current oil price level seems highly attractive for shale oil producers and last week's oil rig count showed an increase in the number of active rigs of 10. Further, market drums speak of shale oil producers having hedged a large portion of their flow out until 2020 - meaning they would be able to keep pumping even during a drop in prices without losing money. Shale oil wells - compared to conventional wells - are relatively easily opened and closed by producers as prices and conditions change. Unlike conventional wells, shale oil wells deplete at a rapid pace and the average lifespan of a shale oil well is around 3 years. So drillers need to open new wells in order to keep production flowing.

Note: due to yesterday's holiday in the U.S., the inventory reports are a day delayed and oil stocks data from the American Petroleum Institute will therefore be published tomorrow evening instead of tonight. The same goes for the EIA oil inventory report, which is published Thursday afternoon.

Turning to economic data, today sees UK CPI and PPI (inflation data). Tomorrow, Eurozone inflation is published.


Andreas Enger, Höegh Autoliners. Höegh orders six LNG-fuelled Aurora-class vessels with future-fuel provisions  

9,100-CEU ships equipped with ammonia- and methanol-ready notation and designed to operate on LNG and low-sulphur fuel oil.

Puerto Rico flag. Puma Energy confirms bunkering operations in Puerto Rico  

The development has been known to regional industry players for several weeks.

Singapore waterfront skyline. Koch Minerals & Trading seeks bunker procurement intern in Singapore  

Successful applicant to work under the mentorship of KM&T’s senior bunker procurement coordinator.

Dan-Bunkering logo. Dan-Bunkering relocates Middelfart headquarters to Kabelbyen  

Bunker firm moves to office complex connected to parent company USTC.

Maria Topic vessel. OceanWings and Tsuneishi Shipbuilding complete rigid wingsail retrofit on bulk carrier Maria Topic  

Ultramax bulk carrier returns to commercial service fitted with a rigid, tiltable wingsail system.

Dubai Marina skyline. XPower Trading seeks senior bunker trader for 'newly established' Dubai role  

Position requires at least five years' bunker trading experience.

Flag of Brazil. Petrobras resumes VLSFO sales at Itaqui as MGO supply disruption continues  

MGO pipeline work at Brazil’s Port of Itaqui remains on track through 9 November.

Ammonia Energy Association (AEA) logo. AEA qualifies global roster of auditors for ammonia certification system  

Bureau Veritas, DNV, TÜV SÜD and three others cleared to verify low-emission ammonia credentials.

New York city skyline. IBIA early-bird registration deadline approaches for New York convention  

Discounted rates available for members and non-members up until the end of August.

MARAD and Core Power MOC signing. MARAD and Core Power sign cooperation framework to advance nuclear-powered merchant ships  

Agreement targets first construction from 2028 as China accelerates its own nuclear shipping ambitions.


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