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Tue 16 Jan 2018, 09:07 GMT

Brent tested $70 several times and closed at highest level in three years


By A/S Global Risk Management.



Brent oil price tested $70 several times yesterday and closed above - the highest close in more than three years. At the time of writing, Brent price is just below $70.

Several OPEC members and non-OPEC member Russia have over the past days repeated that the current oil production cut deal will remain throughout 2018 despite the current elevated oil price levels. Target of the production cut deal is to bring down global crude oil inventories to five-year average and stabilise prices.

Meanwhile, all eyes are on U.S. shale oil production. The current oil price level seems highly attractive for shale oil producers and last week's oil rig count showed an increase in the number of active rigs of 10. Further, market drums speak of shale oil producers having hedged a large portion of their flow out until 2020 - meaning they would be able to keep pumping even during a drop in prices without losing money. Shale oil wells - compared to conventional wells - are relatively easily opened and closed by producers as prices and conditions change. Unlike conventional wells, shale oil wells deplete at a rapid pace and the average lifespan of a shale oil well is around 3 years. So drillers need to open new wells in order to keep production flowing.

Note: due to yesterday's holiday in the U.S., the inventory reports are a day delayed and oil stocks data from the American Petroleum Institute will therefore be published tomorrow evening instead of tonight. The same goes for the EIA oil inventory report, which is published Thursday afternoon.

Turning to economic data, today sees UK CPI and PPI (inflation data). Tomorrow, Eurozone inflation is published.


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WinGD Global Service personnel. WinGD signs five-year service deal for NYK LNG carrier fleet  

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Tangier Maersk sails from Houston to New York using 100% bioethanol in WinGD's X-DF-M/E engine.

Platform supply vessel (PSV) render. Breeze Ship Design wins contract for Union Vega Offshore's battery-hybrid PSVs  

Two battery-hybrid platform supply vessels, with options for four more, will be built in China.

GRSE and ONGC contract signing. GRSE signs contract with ONGC to build four hybrid platform supply vessels  

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Felicitas vessel. AMS Barging christens methanol-ready tanker as fleet reaches 17 vessels  

Dutch inland shipping company adds 9,000-cbm diesel-electric tanker Felicitas, designed for future conversion to methanol bunkering.

Estonia's fully-electric ferry render. Steerprop to supply next-generation CRP units for Estonia's first electric ferry  

Finnish propulsion specialist Steerprop will equip a CRIST-built electric ferry with upgraded contra-rotating propeller technology for the Estonian State Fleet.

BGN and HD HHI contract signing. BGN orders four more dual-fuel LPG carriers from HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  

New contract brings BGN's 2026 orders with HD HHI to 10 vessels and will increase its owned VLGC fleet to 23 ships.


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