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Tue 16 Jan 2018, 09:07 GMT

Brent tested $70 several times and closed at highest level in three years


By A/S Global Risk Management.



Brent oil price tested $70 several times yesterday and closed above - the highest close in more than three years. At the time of writing, Brent price is just below $70.

Several OPEC members and non-OPEC member Russia have over the past days repeated that the current oil production cut deal will remain throughout 2018 despite the current elevated oil price levels. Target of the production cut deal is to bring down global crude oil inventories to five-year average and stabilise prices.

Meanwhile, all eyes are on U.S. shale oil production. The current oil price level seems highly attractive for shale oil producers and last week's oil rig count showed an increase in the number of active rigs of 10. Further, market drums speak of shale oil producers having hedged a large portion of their flow out until 2020 - meaning they would be able to keep pumping even during a drop in prices without losing money. Shale oil wells - compared to conventional wells - are relatively easily opened and closed by producers as prices and conditions change. Unlike conventional wells, shale oil wells deplete at a rapid pace and the average lifespan of a shale oil well is around 3 years. So drillers need to open new wells in order to keep production flowing.

Note: due to yesterday's holiday in the U.S., the inventory reports are a day delayed and oil stocks data from the American Petroleum Institute will therefore be published tomorrow evening instead of tonight. The same goes for the EIA oil inventory report, which is published Thursday afternoon.

Turning to economic data, today sees UK CPI and PPI (inflation data). Tomorrow, Eurozone inflation is published.


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Haiyang Shiyou 301 ship-to-ship (STS) LNG bunkering operation. CLPe and CNOOC complete Hong Kong's first LNG bunkering of a pure car and truck carrier  

Ship-to-ship operation delivered around 2,600 cbm of LNG to dual-fuel vessel AICC Fenghuang.

Mercuria logo. Mercuria seeks senior sales and account manager for bunker delivery platform  

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Molgas Energy logo. Molgas Energy Group appoints Riaan van Kralingen as head of clean fuels  

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GT Wings manufacturing facility. GT Wings launches compact AirWing S Jet Sail for smaller vessels  

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Cargo ship bow in dry dock. LR publishes retrofit guidance covering alternative fuels and energy-saving devices in one framework  

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Spirit of Toulouse fitted with rotor sails. LD Armateurs' Spirit of Toulouse fitted with six Norsepower rotor sails  

Six 35m rotor sails installed on the first of three methanol-capable ro-ro ships chartered by Airbus.

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MPA and SIBCON 2026 logos. Singapore launches series of measures at SIBCON 2026  

MPA announces LNG storage licences, digital bunkering grants and electric harbour craft incentives at 24th conference.

SIBCON 2026 pre-conference event. VPS outlines marine fuel standards and quality data at SIBCON 2026  

VPS's Rahul Choudhuri addresses Singapore's evolving fuel standards and the quality of conventional fuels and biofuels.


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