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Tue 16 Jan 2018, 09:07 GMT

Brent tested $70 several times and closed at highest level in three years


By A/S Global Risk Management.



Brent oil price tested $70 several times yesterday and closed above - the highest close in more than three years. At the time of writing, Brent price is just below $70.

Several OPEC members and non-OPEC member Russia have over the past days repeated that the current oil production cut deal will remain throughout 2018 despite the current elevated oil price levels. Target of the production cut deal is to bring down global crude oil inventories to five-year average and stabilise prices.

Meanwhile, all eyes are on U.S. shale oil production. The current oil price level seems highly attractive for shale oil producers and last week's oil rig count showed an increase in the number of active rigs of 10. Further, market drums speak of shale oil producers having hedged a large portion of their flow out until 2020 - meaning they would be able to keep pumping even during a drop in prices without losing money. Shale oil wells - compared to conventional wells - are relatively easily opened and closed by producers as prices and conditions change. Unlike conventional wells, shale oil wells deplete at a rapid pace and the average lifespan of a shale oil well is around 3 years. So drillers need to open new wells in order to keep production flowing.

Note: due to yesterday's holiday in the U.S., the inventory reports are a day delayed and oil stocks data from the American Petroleum Institute will therefore be published tomorrow evening instead of tonight. The same goes for the EIA oil inventory report, which is published Thursday afternoon.

Turning to economic data, today sees UK CPI and PPI (inflation data). Tomorrow, Eurozone inflation is published.


Steel cutting ceremony of a 155,500-dwt LNG dual-fuel crude oil tanker with builder's hull no. 0315848. Steel cutting begins on LNG dual-fuel Aframax tanker  

Chinese yard cuts steel for 155,500-dwt crude carrier.

BV and CMDT cybersecurity agreement signing ceremony. Bureau Veritas and CMHI sign agreements to advance green and smart shipping solutions  

Classification society and Chinese shipbuilder strengthen partnership with cybersecurity and alternative fuel certifications.

Steel cutting ceremony of a 8400-teu LNG dual-fuel container vessel with builder's hull no. 0208111. Steel cutting begins on 8,400-teu LNG dual-fuel container vessel  

Chinese yard commences construction on LNG-powered container ship with Lloyd's Register oversight.

Keel-laying ceremony of a 155,500-dwt LNG dual-fuel crude oil tanker with builder's hull no. 0315871. Keel laid for LNG dual-fuel crude oil tanker in China  

Ceremony held on 23 December for LNG-capable tanker under Lloyd’s Register class.

Keel-laying ceremony of a 155,500-dwt LNG dual-fuel crude oil tanker with builder’s hull no. 0315844. Keel laid for 155,500-dwt LNG dual-fuel crude oil tanker  

Chinese shipyard begins construction on Suezmax tanker, with Maran and ABS staff in attendance.

Steel cutting ceremony for CMA CGM’s 8,400-teu LNG dual-fuel container vessel. New Times Shipbuilding begins steel cutting on 8,400-teu LNG dual-fuel boxship  

Chinese shipyard begins construction on vessel for CMA CGM with Lloyd's Register classification oversight.

ISCC Logo. Golden Island secures ISCC EU certification for sustainable marine fuel trading  

Singapore-based firm can now supply B100 biodiesel and green methanol with verified sustainability proofs.

Palace of Westminster, London. Uni-Fuels seeks bunker traders for London operations  

Nasdaq-listed marine fuel supplier recruiting for trading team to support global expansion efforts.

Uni-Fuels Logo. Uni-Fuels seeks bunker traders for Piraeus office  

Nasdaq-listed marine fuel provider advertises positions as part of expansion in Greek market.

Aland vessel. EU updates shipping company assignments under emissions trading system  

European Commission publishes revised list of administering authorities based on latest Thetis-MRV data.


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