Thu 13 Dec 2012, 14:12 GMT

Global Vision Market Report



Brent crude slipped toward $109 a barrel on Thursday on rising U.S. oil stockpiles, while fears that the world's largest economy might miss a deadline for next year's budget and risk a recession also kept bulls in check. Brent crude fell 19 cents to $109.31 a barrel by 1112 GMT, while U.S. crude was at $86.34, down 43 cents. The January Brent contract expires on Friday.

After rising prices on Tuesday, the oil market was stronger on Wednesday and continued upward correction. The driving force had been the strong euro vs a soft dollar as well as some traders' speculations in the morning that the Fed would certainly extend expanisve measures. The IEA monthly report was rather bullish after the upward revision of the 2013 demand growth prognosis despite low economic activity in November. Due to a still bullish technical view (buying signal at the WTI stochastic), prices at ICE and NYMEX breach first resistances, automatically triggering more stop-loss buying orders. In Vienna, OPEC left everything as it was. The output ceiling remains unchanged at 30 million barrel/day and El-Badris tenure was extended by one year because the organization's members could not agree on a successor. Price volatility increased with the opening of NYMEX floor trading and oil futures quickly traded up, triggered by short-coverings prior to the FOMC decision and the IEA report. The DOE data, however, were clearly bearish due to the build in crude-oil and oil products. Thus the oil market briefly returned from yesterday's high but was boosted again by the Fed announcement of more expansive measures. On the one hand, this decision appreciated the dollar, which makes oil futures attractive for investors outside the USA, and on the other hand, the new bond purchasing programme will boost the economy and thus support U.S. oil demand. Prices were distinctly stronger at the closing of NYMEX and ICE. But upside was limited in the evening by bearish DOE petroleum inventories.

ICE Gasoil contract for December delivery settled at 923.00 dollars on Wednesday. This was 15.50 dollars above Tuesday's settlement. With some 100,000 deals the traded volume was above average.

The Stochastic oscillator remains clearly bullish at ICE and NYMEX while the RSI is moving downwards again towards the oversold range. Buying signals, however, date back to one or two days and after yesterday's price rally, the question remains just how much additional upward potential will be left over in face of buying signals. According to the stochastic, technical indicators show a slightly bullish constellation.

U.S.

Nymex Access bullish: Oil futures at ICE and NYMEX are softer this morning as a result of yesterday's profit-taking after the price rally, which bore fruit at night. The traded volume at NYMEX is about average at this time of day. Market participants are waiting for the European market to open, for the ECB monthly report and the U.S. economic indicators to be released in the course of the day.

API: Crude oil +4.3; distillates +2.2; gasoline +2.8 million barrels vs previous week
DOE: Crude oil +0.8; distillates +3.0; gasoline +5.0 million barrels vs previous week
Survey: Crude oil -1.7; distillates +1.5; gasoline +2.5 million barrels vs previous week

Houston (ex-wharf indications 12-12)
380cst $611
180cst $708
MGO $990

New Orleans (ex-wharf indications 12-12)
380cst $625
180cst $666
MGO $995

Singapore (correct as of 1430hrs LT - delivered indications)

Crude with WTI -$0.34. Singapore paper is stable with +$0.75 for 180cst and -$2.00 for 380cst for Nov, and for Dec,180 cst +$0.25 and 380cst +$0.20. With MGO contracts Nov +$0.72 and Dec +$0.72. The cargo market is bullish with 180 cst +$2.37 380cst +$3.23 and MGO +$0.70.

The Singapore markets were up again, more than $2.5 during the morning Platts window tracking higher crude values. Delivered bunker premiums were inched up to $5.0- 6.0 above cargo prices yesterday as crude strengthened after the window. Bunker fuel oil swaps gained app.$6.5/mt at the front of the forward curve for Singapore papers. Backend was app. $2/mt stronger. This morning the markets are trading slightly lower.

High premiums for prompt deliveries.
380 cst $601
180 cst $611
MDO $915

ARA (Amsterdam - Rotterdam - Antwerp)

LSFO loadings are taken up to 4 days in Antwerp. HSFO there are no spot-avails. Beside the existing contracts of the suppliers, there are no load possibilities in Antwerp or Flushing. Both influences the Rotterdam hub with regards to the loading capacity. A lot of waitingtime is reported in some of the refineries or storages. Those where waitingtime is taken to the minimum, high premiums are noted. Therefore, for prompt enquiries, a bigger premium is to be expected.

Indications for delivered bunkers:
380cst : $ 575
(1.0 %) :$ 610
180cst: $ 605
(1.0 %):$ 640
MGO 0.1%S: $ 918

MGO  

Delivery ceremony of Maran Myrto vessel. New Times Shipbuilding cuts steel on two crude tankers and delivers LNG dual-fuel vessel  

Chinese yard marks a busy 4 June with steel-cutting ceremonies and a tanker delivery to Maran.

Christening ceremony of Mercedes Pinto vessel. Baleària Canarias christens €128m dual-fuel fast ferry Mercedes Pinto for inter-island routes  

The catamaran will connect Tenerife, Gran Canaria and Fuerteventura with six daily departures.

AiP award ceremony for LPG dual-fuel 1,400-teu container vessel design. DNV awards AiP to HHI for LPG dual-fuel container vessel design  

Approval in principle granted for ship design targeting the underserved smaller container segment.

Olivier Josse, Alberto Pérez Espinosa and Luke Shu. Seascale Energy partners with Lloyd’s Register Advisory to build decarbonisation expertise  

The bunker firm has launched a knowledge partnership covering low-carbon fuels and maritime regulations.

CSL Kuleana vessel. CSL takes delivery of methanol-ready Kamsarmax as fleet renewal programme advances  

MV CSL Kuleana departs on maiden voyage, equipped with Tier III engines.

Peter Keller, SEA-LNG. LNG orderbook share hits 90% as methane pathway investment holds firm  

LNG bunkering volumes surge and biomethane uptake grows six-fold, despite geopolitical headwinds.

Vessel at sea with Graphyte and NYK Line logos. NYK to offset ship emissions with CDR credits from Loblolly project  

Japanese shipping group turns to biomass-based carbon sequestration to address residual maritime emissions.

Close-up view of a KESS vessel. K Line orders four LNG dual-fuel car carriers for European short-sea operations  

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha contracts quartet of 1,380-vehicle vessels at China Merchants Jinling Shipyard.

Bunge logo. Bunge seeks bunker purchaser for Rotterdam operation  

Agribusiness is looking for candidates with experience in marine fuel procurement.

Launching ceremony of a 38,000-dwt chemical tanker with hull no. XY169. First vessel in NYK Stolt Tankers’ newbuild series launched in China  

FKAB-designed 38,000 DWT chemical tanker launched at Nantong Xiangyu Shipyard, China.