Fri 17 Feb 2012, 10:40 GMT

Global Vision Market Report



Crude futures are slightly bullish this morning on optimistic US economy figures, and surging stock markets. Crude has jumped from $96 earlier this month as a surge in stock markets suggests investor confidence in the U.S. economic outlook is improving. The U.S. Labor Department said weekly applications for unemployment benefits dropped for the fourth time in five weeks to the lowest point since March 2008.

Oil futures at ICE and NYMEX started the day with a slightly bearish tone, consolidating in early morning trading hours and easing after a short rebound on a weaker euro that was affected at this time of the day by worries over the Greek bailout. When support lines proved strong, however, and a string of better-than-expected US indicators in the afternoon tempted traders to invest into riskier assets, the euro rebounded and equity markets jumped, taking oil prices with them. Supply worries in face of declining oil exports of the Yemen, the Republic of South Sudan and possibly Iran helped the European benchmark brent, that is more susceptible to supply disruptions than the WTI, to a fresh 8-month high at 120.63 dollars.

ICE Gasoil contract for March delivery settled at 1,004.00 dollars on Thursday. This was 1.75 dollars below Wednesday's settlement. With some 82,600 contracts the traded volume was well above average.

The Stochastic oscillator at the Brent and the gasoil chart is still giving bullish signals, but its two lines are converging for the brent. The WTI's indicator is still neutral, see also technical analysis. The strong uptrends and the bullish Stochastic signal a continuation of the bullish tendency, even though there is little upside at the gasoil chart until first resistance lines are hit and its RSI indicator is set to breach the 70% line. Should it fall through, the overbought market situation would favour a downward correction but support lines are seen strong.

U.S.

Nymex acces gaining. Oil futures are consolidating with a bullish tone in Asian trading hours and on Globex electronic trading platform this morning, taking their breath after Thursday's gains. The traded volume is well above average, but investors' focus is already set on the new WTI front month April, the contract for March delivery expiring Tuesday. Market participants will eye equity and forex markets and some European and US indicators today.

Houston (ex-wharf indications 15-2)

380cst $714
180cst $755
MGO $1053

Very tight avails for 180 cst

New Orleans (ex-wharf indications 15-2)

380cst $716
180cst $757
MGO $1056

Singapore (correct as of 1430hrs LT - delivered indications)

Crude is bouncing back up with WTI +$1.64 Singapore paper is reflecting it with +$8.00 for 180cst and +$8.50 for 380cst for Mar, and for Apr 180 cst +$8.00 and 380cst +$8.50 with MGO Mar contracts at +$1.15 and for Apr +$1.14. The cargo market is slowly reacting, with 180cst +$0.13, 380cst -$1.04 and MGO +$0.27.

High premiums for prompt deliveries.

380 cst $730
180 cst $742
MGO $1012

ARA (Amsterdam - Rotterdam - Antwerp)

Sentiment in the ARA was mixed, with surging crude further tightening the markets. The Antwerp pilot strikes and the slow motion actions are still causing much delays. HSFO availability in Rotterdam remained tight, with prompt barge delays were still a feature of the market, with some buyers waiting as long as seven days. Meanwhile, adding to the tightness of LSFO in Antwerp, vessel experience delays caused by industrial action by ship pilots.

Rotterdam

Indications for delivered bunkers:

380cst : $ 691
(1.0 %) :$ 717
180cst: $ 710
(1.0 %):$ 738
MGO 0.1%S: $1002

MGO  

VPS logo. Fuel quality management for vessels in extended idle: Arabian Gulf, Gulf of Oman and adjacent anchorages | Rahul Choudhuri, VPS  

Managing fuel quality deterioration following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Person signing a document. Agastya Green Fuels signs 250,000 t/yr e-methanol offtake deal with Sri Lanka’s SAR Group  

Indian producer and Sri Lankan maritime firm agree long-term green methanol supply partnership.

Bunker Holding logo. Bunker Holding seeks risk specialist for Copenhagen internal pricing desk  

Danish bunker group is expanding its internal pricing team to meet growing demand for fixed-price solutions.

Global biofuels demand chart. Biofuel demand could surge 70% by 2030 as food price fears mount  

T&E warns governments risk trading an oil crisis for a food crisis as biofuel targets strain vegetable oil and fertiliser markets.

Shore power illustration. Shore power shifts from voluntary measure to compliance requirement, DNV white paper finds  

Shore power is moving from an optional emissions tool to a regulatory obligation for shipowners in key trades.

Giosuè Vezzuto and Ahmed Eldemerdash. Baker Hughes’ NovaLT 16 gas turbine receives RINA type approval for marine propulsion on hydrogen and natural gas  

Certification covers operation on natural gas and blends up to 100% hydrogen for marine use.

AiP award ceremony for nuclear reactor integration in cargo vessel design. ABS grants approval in principle for nuclear reactor integration in cargo vessel design  

ABS, HD KSOE, Capital Maritime Group and MIT have received approval in principle for a nuclear-powered cargo vessel propulsion system.

Green e-fuel export corridor consortium partners logos. Green e-fuel export corridor between Brazil and Belgium advances to feasibility stage  

A consortium has been formed to develop a green e-fuel corridor linking Porto do Açu to Antwerp-Bruges.

Naming ceremony of Ocean Express and Ocean Navigator vessels. Sallaum Lines takes delivery of two LNG-fuelled PCTCs in simultaneous handover ceremony  

RoRo carrier receives MV Ocean Express and MV Ocean Navigator from Chinese shipyard.

Person signing a document. Agastya Group signs MoU with Andhra Pradesh government for 1 MTPA green methanol hub at Mulapeta Port  

India-based Agastya Group plans a $6.5bn green methanol export facility on the country's east coast.