Thu 8 Nov 2012, 12:32 GMT

Global Vision Market Report



The price of oil recouped some lost ground Thursday, a day after its biggest decline of the year. Benchmark crude for December delivery was up 69 cents to $85.13 per barrel at late afternoon Bangkok time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $4.27, or 5 %, to finish at $84.44 per barrel in New York. It was the lowest price since July 10.

On Tuesday, oil prices at ICE and NYMEX still sharply climbed, even though analysts could not find any fundamental reasons for the rise that amounted to some 4.1% for the WTI. On Wednesday morning, after the result of the US elections, oil futures nevertheless consolidated on a high level until, in the course of the day, the bearish impacts prevailed. First, the euro was sent lower by weak economic data and forecasts, and then equities followed. The euphoria caused by Obama's re-election has been put into the background by the worries regarding the European economic growth and the fears of the fiscal cliff that might hit the USA in January. Profit taking from the euro and equities have also affected oil markets, where market participants also cut their speculative long positions after the API's data, published Tuesday night, indicated that the change in US oil inventories might come out more bearish than expected. As this was the case, selling pressure renewably rose in late-afternoon trade. In all, losses outweighed Tuesday's gains and at its lowest the WTI crude lost some 4.9% compared to the beginning of the session. The Brent temporarily declined by 3.9% and the Gasoil by 3.1%. Only at the end of NYMEX floor trade has the drop been stopped and quotations settled near their lows.

ICE Gasoil contract for November delivery settled at 931.00 dollars on Wednesday. This was 6.00 dollars below Tuesday's settlement. With some 36,900 deals the traded volume was below average.

The stochastic indicator is still neutral at the ICE charts this morning, whereas the indicator's lines seem to cross at the WTI chart which gives a first selling signal. Given the long-term down-trend of the WTI crude, technical analysts take a rather bearish stance. New selling signals currently seem more likely than new buying signals.

U.S.

Nymex Access rising: Oil prices have traded higher in East-Asia and on Globex electronic trading platform this morning after yesterday's decline. According to analysts, this has been a technical reaction. Moreover some investors were cutting their short positions. The traded volume is far above average. Investors now eye the performance of stock markets and new clues from forex trade. Moreover they are looking ahead to some economic indicators.

API: Crude Oil +0.0; distillates +0.2; gasoline +1.4 million barrels vs previous week
DOE: Crude Oil +1.8; distilates +0.1; gasoline +2.9 million barrels vs previous week
Survey: Crude Oil +1.7; distillates -1.6; gasoline -1.3 million barrels vs previous week

Houston (ex-wharf indications 07-11)

380cst $604
180cst $710
MGO $1013

New Orleans (ex-wharf indications 07-11)

380cst $602
180cst $703
MGO $1020

Singapore (correct as of 1430hrs LT - delivered indications)

Crude is retreating with WTI -$3.33. Singapore paper is bearish, dropping with -$17.50 for 180cst and -$17.00 for 380cst for Nov, and for Dec 180 cst -$17.25 and 380cst -$17.75 with MGO Nov contracts at -$3.40 and for Dec at -$3.20. The cargo market is bullish with 180cst +$18.29, 380cst +$16.09 and MGO +$2.70.

The Singapore fuel oil markets surged up more than $16.0 during the morning Platts window yesterday tracking the crude movement. However, the softer fundamentals of weaker demand and ample supply continued to weaken the market. The delivered bunker premiums were ranging $2.0 -5.5 above cargo prices yesterday. This morning the market is trading down.

High premiums for prompt deliveries.

380 cst $600
180 cst $610
MDO $910

ARA (Amsterdam - Rotterdam - Antwerp)

Although there are still a lot of waiting times at the loadinginstallations for HSFO, the avails for HSFO and LSFO are good.

Indications for delivered bunkers:

380cst : $ 582
(1.0 %) :$ 616
180cst: $ 654
(1.0 %):$ 690
MGO 0.1%S: $ 920

MGO  

Rolls-Royce mtu engine test bench. Rolls-Royce Power Systems switches German engine test facilities to HVO fuel  

Company saved 3,200 tonnes of CO2 by end of 2025 after switching to renewable diesel.

MSC Migsan delivery ceremony. Changhong International delivers final LNG dual-fuel container ship 205 days early  

Chinese shipbuilder completes 10-vessel series for MSC with delivery of 11,500-teu MSC Migsan.

Seoul city skyline. Oilmar seeks senior and mid-level bunker traders in Seoul  

Marine fuel firm aims to recruit experienced traders for South Korean operations.

Morten Thomas Jacobsen, GEA. Global Ethanol Association to present on ethanol marine fuel at London shipping expo  

Morten Thomas Jacobsen will discuss ethanol fuel trials and maritime decarbonisation challenges in June.

Adrian Tolson, IBIA. IBIA warns of structural shift in marine fuel market following Middle East tensions  

Association chair says geopolitical disruptions signal lasting changes to bunker supply dynamics and pricing.

HMM Hamburg vessel. Rotterdam bunker volumes plunge 25% in first quarter amid regulatory shifts  

Fossil fuel sales decline sharply while alternative fuels show modest growth in Dutch port.

Camellia Dream vessel. Norsepower completes factory tests for 18 rotor sails bound for Airbus fleet  

Wind propulsion units cleared for installation on LD Armateurs vessels targeting 50% emissions reduction.

Frankie Russ vessel. Ernst Russ acquires four chemical tankers with five-year charters worth $126m  

Hamburg shipowner enters tanker segment with methanol-ready newbuildings delivering from Q4 2026.

Ammonia fuel system component. Wärtsilä boosts ammonia engine power output to match LNG equivalent  

Finnish technology group raises Wärtsilä 25 Ammonia engine output, enabling simpler vessel designs.

Aerial view of a cruiseship at sea. Fincantieri secures order for three LNG-fuelled cruise ships from Princess Cruises  

Italian shipbuilder to construct vessels at Monfalcone yard, with deliveries scheduled through 2039.