Tue 30 Oct 2012, 13:07 GMT

Global Vision Market Report



The price of crude oil edged up this morning as traders await information on damages after Hurricane Sandy hit the U.S. and shut East Coast refineries. Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures for December delivery, added $0.53 to $86.07 a barrel.

Yesterday, investors' focus was on hurricane Sandy, which menaced the US Eastcoast and put other news into the background. On Monday morning, trade was predominated by some profit taking as market players preferred to stay on the sidelines. Weaker equities and the retreating euro have favored the tests of the downward potential but the strong supports at 108.55 dollars for the Brent, at 85.40 dollars for the WTI crude and at 969.50 dollars for the Gasoil have limited losses. Since many refineries at the East coast had shut down or at least throttled production, Sandy's bullish factors prevailed in the early afternoon, however. Oil futures, particularly the NYMEX gasoline futures, gained considerable ground breaching their first resistance lines. The WTI crude kept trading relatively soft, as the supply of crude oil usually rises when refineries see production losses. According to analysts, this is also the main reason for the profit taking in late afternoon-trade that made oil futures pull back from their highs again. Still, quotations remained above the lows they had marked on Monday morning. Only the WTI crude has fallen through its supports, dropping near the 84.75 dollars mark. Traders said that market sentiment was rather nervous and sceptical, as NYMEX floor trade remained closed and investors avoided larger positions - be it long or short.

Hurricane Sandy: The biggest East Coast refinery in Philadelphia appears to have emerged undamaged from Hurricane Sandy and a smaller nearby plant operated without trouble, sources said on Tuesday as energy firms began assessing the storm's damage. Initial reports from the two facilities suggested that the region's fuel supplies may bounce back quickly after being almost completely halted ahead of Sandy, which came ashore on Monday evening with winds of up to 90 miles per hour (mph) and a record 13 foot storm surge, causing widespread power outages. But the situation still may be a tricky for a few days. Phillips 66 reported a power outage at its 238,000-bpd Bayway, New Jersey, plant late on Monday, after it had been shut down as a precaution. Experts say that could slow the recovery at the plant, which was also seen as the most vulnerable to flooding.

ICE Gasoil contract for November delivery settled at 970.50 dollars on Monday. This was 2.00 dollars above Friday's settlement. With some 52,400 deals the traded volume was on average.

The stochastic indicator is still slightly bullish, whereas it already gave its buying signals days ago. Therefore the indicator has lost some of its impact. The RSI remains below the 30%-line and so it doesn't provide any new buying signals either. Given the stochastic indicator, technical analysts still assess the situation as slightly bullish, whereas the technical constellation is put into the background by hurricane Sandy. Like yesterday, analysts expect that trade will be rather volatile as NYMEX floor trade will remain closed today, too. In which direction oil futures are heading, can only be told after new status reports on refineries and the US infrastructure at the US East coast.

U.S.

Nymex access neutral to bullish: Oil prices have traded sideways in East-Asia and on Globex electronic trading platform this morning. In the early hours of European trade, they have traded volume is on average. Investors now keep an eye on the development of Hurricane Sandy, on the performance of stock and forex markets and some economic indicators, as well as the release of the API's data on US oil inventories.

Survey of US Petroleum inventories due out tonight at 22:30(API) and Wednesday at 16:30(DOE)
Crude oil +1.6; distillates -1.4; gasoline +0.0 million barrels vs previous week

Houston (ex-wharf indications 29-10)

380cst $617
180cst $692
MGO $1030

New Orleans (ex-wharf indications 29-10)

380cst $622
180cst $688
MGO $1018

Singapore (correct as per 14:30hrs LT-delivered indications)

The Singapore fuel oil markets fell marginally app. -$2.0 during the Platts window yesterday tracking crude movements. Market continues to be weak in Singapore as heavy incoming supplies are expected. The cargo premiums were seen at $0.5-1.0/mt. The delivered bunker premiums were around $6.25 above cargo prices. Bunker fuel oil swaps lost nearly $10/mt at the front of the forward curve for Singapore papers. Meanwhile backend was significantly stronger, posting, app.$5/mt losses. This morning the markets are trading slightly higher.

380 cst $620
180 cst $630
MGO $930

ARA (Amsterdam - Rotterdam - Antwerp)

High sulfur bunker fuel oil premiums for prompt delivery in Rotterdam remain firm on ongoing delays at some loading installations and despite ample supply in the ex-wharf barge market. Premiums for prompt can reach $3/mt to $10/mt above normal bunker quotes. LSFO avails are good.

Rotterdam

Indications for delivered bunkers:
380cst : $ 596
(1.0 %) :$ 635
180cst: $ 626
(1.0 %):$ 665
MGO 0.1%S: $965

BP   MGO  

Verde Marine Energy (VME) logo. Verde Marine Energy completes its first B100 biofuel bunkering in ARA region  

Supplier delivers B100 advanced FAME to Vertom vessel.

CMA CGM Notre Dame vessel. Bureau Veritas classes CMA CGM’s first 24,000-teu LNG dual-fuel mega boxship built by Yangzi Xinfu  

BV highlights work carried out during design, construction and commissioning of new new ultra-large container vessel.

ECSA and A4E logo. Shipping and aviation bodies urge EU to redirect ETS revenues into sustainable fuels  

ECSA and A4E say more than €11bn in annual ETS contributions must fund decarbonisation efforts.

Scotland flag. Bunker One deploys supply barge at Aberdeen South Harbour ahead of July launch  

Marine fuel supplier targets Aberdeen’s growing maritime sector with dedicated barge.

Steel cutting ceremony of vessel with builder's hull no. H2840. Jiangnan Shipyard breaks ground on LPG-fuelled ammonia carrier for Jaldhi Overseas  

Constructions starts on 95,000-cbm vessel set to be world’s largest liquid ammonia carrier.

Mineral Latvija vessel. Fortescue and CMB.Tech sign charter deal for up to 12 ammonia-capable bulkers  

The agreement covers 12 Newcastlemax vessels, with three to be delivered as dual-fuel ammonia ships by end-2026.

Federal Beaufort vessel. Verra publishes new carbon methodology for alternative fuels in shipping  

VM0053 framework offers an accounting structure for emissions reductions in maritime transport.

NYK LNG-powered vessel connected to shore power. ICO launches Belgium’s first commercial shore power facility for ro-ro vessels at Zeebrugge  

NYK Group subsidiary connects pure car and truck carrier to green shore power at Belgian port.

Ocean Express ship-to-ship (STS) LNG bunkering operation. Dan-Bunkering completes LNG supply in China for Sallaum Lines’ newbuild PCTC  

Bunker firm delivers approximately 1,400 tonnes of LNG to Sallaum Lines’ newbuild car carrier in China.

Seaspan Lions (STS) LNG bunkering operation. Low-GHG methane could keep LNG-capable fleet compliant as regulations tighten, DNV paper argues  

Biomethane and e-methane offer a compliance pathway for LNG-capable ships, says DNV.