Fri 1 Dec 2017 10:31

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.



Brent closed up $0.10 last night to $62.63 and WTI closed at $57.40, up $0.10. So after about a million hours deliberating over countless cups of coffee, OPEC extended the cuts out until end 2018. Shock. Well, no not at all really. The market reacted in the way I guessed it would - flat. The extension of the cuts had already been priced in and it has woken up with the same enthusiasm as Mr Novak's translator had throughout yesterday's meeting. The people who will be waking up with extremely sore heads this morning are the US producers. Gee did they get an early Christmas present. I bet they've all woken up this morning with a little finger next to their mouth like Dr Evil from Austin Powers. It's quite simple really: OPEC have, and were always going to, throw them a lifeline for another year. For OPEC to leverage any hope on the fact that the US will 'play ball' is, quite frankly, incredibly naive, but I don't see what other choice they had. WTI/Brent is still at a discount, so the historic OPEC shorts will look further afield for the finest black stuff. Economics 101. With refining margins in Asia still healthy and everyone pinning hopes on that China and India will drive demand for the foreseeable future, I think Trump Airways may be making a few more trips to Asia.

Fuel Oil Market (November 30)

The front crack opened at -8.50, weakening to -8.85, before strengthening to -8.80. The Cal 18 was valued at -8.05.

Fuel oil cracks firmed on Thursday, albeit limited trade activity, amid falling Singapore inventories and ahead of the OPEC meeting later in the day, trade sources said

The December 380 cSt Rotterdam barge crack to Brent crude narrowed its discount by as much as 50 cents a barrel in early trade but gave up some of those gains to trade at about minus $8.70 a barrel by 1630 Singapore time (0830 GMT).

Singapore weekly onshore fuel oil inventories fell 1.9%, or 450,000 barrels (about 67,000 tonnes), to 23.034 million barrels (or 3.44 million tonnes) in the week to Nov. 29. Onshore Singapore fuel oil have declined for four weeks straight and are now at an eight-week low.

Economic Data/Events: (UK times)

* 2:45pm: U.S. Markit Manufacturing PMI, Nov. (final)

* 3pm: U.S. ISM Manufacturing, Nov.

* 6pm: Baker Hughes rig count

* ~6pm: ICE weekly commitments of traders report for Brent, gasoil

* 8:30pm: Commodity Futures Trading Commission weekly scheduled report on futures and options positions

Singapore 380 cSt

Jan18 - 360.00 / 362.00

Feb18 - 359.50 / 361.50

Mar18 - 359.00 / 361.00

Apr18 - 358.50 / 360.50

May18 - 357.50 / 359.50

Jun18 - 356.50 / 358.50

Q1-18 - 359.50 / 361.50

Q2-18 - 357.50 / 359.50

Q3-18 - 352.50 / 355.00

Q4-18 - 347.25 / 349.75

CAL18 - 353.25 / 356.25

CAL19 - 318.50 / 323.50

Singapore 180 cSt

Jan18 - 364.50 / 366.50

Feb18 - 364.50 / 366.50

Mar18 - 364.25 / 366.25

Apr18 - 364.25 / 366.25

May18 - 363.25 / 365.25

Jun18 - 362.25 / 364.25

Q1-18 - 364.50 / 366.50

Q2-18 - 363.25 / 365.25

Q3-18 - 358.75 / 361.25

Q4-18 - 353.75 / 356.25

CAL18 - 359.25 / 362.25

CAL19 - 327.25 / 332.25

Rotterdam 380 cSt

Jan18 343.75 / 345.75

Feb18 344.00 / 346.00

Mar18 344.00 / 346.00

Apr18 343.50 / 345.50

May18 342.50 / 344.50

Jun18 341.50 / 343.50

Q1-18 343.75 / 345.75

Q2-18 342.25 / 344.25

Q3-18 337.00 / 339.50

Q4-18 328.50 / 331.00

CAL18 337.25 / 340.25

CAL19 298.25 / 303.25


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Agreement supports container line's decarbonisation strategy and net-zero fleet operations target by 2045.

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Ship manager predicts LNG-powered vessels will bridge gap until zero-carbon alternatives emerge.

Stril Poseidon vessel. VPS campaign claims 12,000 tonnes of CO2 savings across 300 vessels  

Three-month efficiency drive involved 12 shipping companies testing operational strategies through software platform.

Birdseye view of a ship. Gard warns of widespread cat fines surge in marine fuel  

Insurer reports elevated contamination levels, echoing VPS circular in early September.

Christoffer Ahlqvist, ScanOcean. ScanOcean opens London office to expand global bunker trading operations  

New office will be led by Christoffer Ahlqvist, Head of Trading.

Aurora Expeditions' Sylvia Earle. Aurora Expeditions claims 90% GHG reduction in landmark HVO trials  

Sylvia Earle said to be the first Infinity-class ship to trial HVO biofuel.

Molslinjen ferry illustration. Wärtsilä wins contract for electric propulsion systems on two Danish ferries  

Technology group to supply integrated electric systems for Molslinjen's battery-electric catamarans.

Manja Ostertag, Bunker Holding. Bunker Holding executive to address biofuels at Berlin event  

Manja Ostertag will discuss production scaling and supply chain integration at September forum.

Svitzer Ingrid tugboat naming ceremony. Denmark's first electric tug named as Svitzer advances decarbonisation goals  

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