Thu 10 Apr 2014, 13:28 GMT

OW Risk Management Report



Market in Brief

The Oil contracts kept their previous day momentum to settle higher at $107.98/bbl up +$0.31 for Brent and +$1.04 to $103.60/bbl for WTI. The US weekly inventory showed another solid crude build of +4.03 mbbl as refinery utilization rate fell -0.2%. Gasoline stockpile fell -5.19 mbbl; much more than expected implying a strong demand negating the bearish oil stock number. The US Federal Reserve reiterated its dovish stance by reassuring the market that interest rate will not be raise soon which lifted US equities. China latest exports and imports saw a surprise drop in March which added further worries about the Chinese economy. Market is increasingly expecting some kind of stimulus measures from the Chinese government. This morning, crude prices are trading mixed: Brent down -0,1% and WTI up +0,1%.

Fuel oil Specifics

The NWE bunker fuel oil prices closed one more day with gains. Delivered 380cst product in Antwerp and Rotterdam was assessed $5.0-6.0/mt higher vs previous close. Rotterdam suppliers reported relatively quiet day with low demand and tight prompt hsfo avails. Antwerp, on the other hand, saw healthy demand levels. The Singapore fuel oil prices rose yesterday $5.5-3.5 during the Asian Platts window. The delivered bunker premiums softened to $4.5-2.5/mt impacted by muted demand and ample supply. Visco spread weakened in the front with spot closing at $5.21/mt yesterday. May is trading at app.$6.75/7.25 while forward prices remain stable trading in a range of $6.75-7.0/mt for the rest of the year. This morning both markets are trading marginally up.

Forward Indications

Product

May

Jun

Jul

Q314

Q414

Q115

NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month)

102,45

101,49

100,37

102,44

99,33

96,44

ICE Brent Swap (1st month)

107,76

107,51

107,51

107,02

104,99

103,42

ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month)

906,42

905,50

906,08

905,78

902,25

-

3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm

576,50

576,25

575,75

575,00

571,25

569,75

3.5% Cargoes FOB Med

572,25

573,00

572,00

572,00

568,25

566,75

1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE

613,00

608,75

606,75

605,50

596,50

588,25

3% no. 6 USGC WB

89,95

89,73

89,63

89,55

89,06

88,71

380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore

593,75

595,25

595,50

595,50

594,25

592,75

0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm

907,25

906,25

905,25

904,25

900,25

-

Physical Rotterdam 380 CST

581,75

581,50

581,00

580,25

576,50

575,00

Physical Singapore 380 CST

599,00

600,50

600,75

600,75

599,50

598,00



Focus of the day: Houston

The U.S. Gulf Coast bunker market closed on a strong and strong note as uncertainty and volatility took the general market on an upward move Wednesday. Firm demand prevailed in Houston amid fierce supplier competition. Based on a slight price increase on Brent crude and ample supplies, IFO 380 CST Houston was assessed by Platts at $692/mt, up $4.50/mt from Tuesday, which narrowed the hi-lo spread in Houston by $3/mt to $106.00. LSFO Houston was assessed at $692/mt, $1.50/mt higher from Tuesday. Imports gained 481,000 barrels a day, following a drop of 786,000 barrels in the previous week because the Houston Ship Channel was shut. It was obvious the need to catch up in the aftermath of the Houston Ship Channel closure; however, the build in Cushing stocks is also expected to be temporary. In Panama bunker fuel prices edged up amid decent demand despite competition for business among suppliers. Selling ideas for HSFO in Balboa - the most flexible side in terms of pricing and avails - was at around $608-$610/mt while LSFO and MGO remained tight.

Economic fundamentals this week

Statistic

Importance

Date

Time

Period

Consensus

Last

Actual

Consumer Credit

Medium

7-Apr

3:00 PM

Feb

$13.5B

$13.7B

$16.5B

Wholesale Inventories

Medium

9-Apr

10:00 AM

Feb

0.60%

0.60%

0.50%

Intial Claims

Medium

10-Apr

8:30 AM

05-apr

325K

326K

-

Continuing Claims

Medium

10-Apr

8:30 AM

29-mar

2850K

2836K

-

Treasury Budget

Medium

10-Apr

2:00 PM

Mar

NA

-$106.5B

-

Core PPI

Medium

11-Apr

8:30 AM

Mar

0.10%

-0.20%

-

Mich Sentiment

Medium

11-Apr

9:55 AM

Apr

81

80

-


MGO  

Singapore waterfront skyline. Oilmar DMCC seeks bunker traders for Singapore office  

Marine fuel trading firm is recruiting mid-level and senior professionals to expand Asia-Pacific marine fuels operations.

Dubai skyline. Oilmar DMCC seeks senior bunker trader for Dubai operations  

Dubai-based energy firm recruits experienced marine fuels trader to expand Middle East portfolio.

Zhoushan Changhong International Shipyard logo. Zhoushan Changhong secures orders through 2029 with LNG dual-fuel container ships  

Chinese shipyard reports full order book as it constructs 19,000-teu vessels for MSC Group.

Century Highway Green vessel. K Line secures long-term bio-LNG supply for car carrier fleet  

Japanese shipping company expects to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 60,800 tonnes annually.

One Simplicity vessel. Methanol- and ammonia-ready container ship delivered to ONE  

Approval in Principle obtained from Lloyd’s Register for future methanol and ammonia fuel conversion.

Methanol bunker fuel delivery. World Fuel Services and West Coast Clean Fuels launch methanol bunkering across US ports  

First over-the-water methanol delivery completed in South Florida with Coast Guard-approved procedures.

Valerie Ahrens. Burando Energies appoints Valerie Ahrens as global head of methanol  

Ahrens brings more than 30 years of energy sector experience to the marine fuels supplier.

New Sea Generation (NSG) logo. New Sea Generation seeks junior bunker trader in Greece  

Greek bunker firm advertises role requiring commitment to demanding work schedule and operational responsibilities.

Person signing a document. IINO Lines secures sustainable shipping finance for methanol dual-fuel VLCC  

Japanese shipowner signs impact financing agreement with Mizuho Bank for alternative-fuel tanker.

Fluxys logo. Fluxys Belgium reports EUR74.9m profit as LNG flows surge and hydrogen infrastructure begins  

Belgian gas infrastructure operator’s 2025 net profit fell 8.8% amid hydrogen and CO₂ investments.