Thu 10 Apr 2014, 13:28 GMT

OW Risk Management Report



Market in Brief

The Oil contracts kept their previous day momentum to settle higher at $107.98/bbl up +$0.31 for Brent and +$1.04 to $103.60/bbl for WTI. The US weekly inventory showed another solid crude build of +4.03 mbbl as refinery utilization rate fell -0.2%. Gasoline stockpile fell -5.19 mbbl; much more than expected implying a strong demand negating the bearish oil stock number. The US Federal Reserve reiterated its dovish stance by reassuring the market that interest rate will not be raise soon which lifted US equities. China latest exports and imports saw a surprise drop in March which added further worries about the Chinese economy. Market is increasingly expecting some kind of stimulus measures from the Chinese government. This morning, crude prices are trading mixed: Brent down -0,1% and WTI up +0,1%.

Fuel oil Specifics

The NWE bunker fuel oil prices closed one more day with gains. Delivered 380cst product in Antwerp and Rotterdam was assessed $5.0-6.0/mt higher vs previous close. Rotterdam suppliers reported relatively quiet day with low demand and tight prompt hsfo avails. Antwerp, on the other hand, saw healthy demand levels. The Singapore fuel oil prices rose yesterday $5.5-3.5 during the Asian Platts window. The delivered bunker premiums softened to $4.5-2.5/mt impacted by muted demand and ample supply. Visco spread weakened in the front with spot closing at $5.21/mt yesterday. May is trading at app.$6.75/7.25 while forward prices remain stable trading in a range of $6.75-7.0/mt for the rest of the year. This morning both markets are trading marginally up.

Forward Indications

Product

May

Jun

Jul

Q314

Q414

Q115

NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month)

102,45

101,49

100,37

102,44

99,33

96,44

ICE Brent Swap (1st month)

107,76

107,51

107,51

107,02

104,99

103,42

ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month)

906,42

905,50

906,08

905,78

902,25

-

3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm

576,50

576,25

575,75

575,00

571,25

569,75

3.5% Cargoes FOB Med

572,25

573,00

572,00

572,00

568,25

566,75

1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE

613,00

608,75

606,75

605,50

596,50

588,25

3% no. 6 USGC WB

89,95

89,73

89,63

89,55

89,06

88,71

380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore

593,75

595,25

595,50

595,50

594,25

592,75

0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm

907,25

906,25

905,25

904,25

900,25

-

Physical Rotterdam 380 CST

581,75

581,50

581,00

580,25

576,50

575,00

Physical Singapore 380 CST

599,00

600,50

600,75

600,75

599,50

598,00



Focus of the day: Houston

The U.S. Gulf Coast bunker market closed on a strong and strong note as uncertainty and volatility took the general market on an upward move Wednesday. Firm demand prevailed in Houston amid fierce supplier competition. Based on a slight price increase on Brent crude and ample supplies, IFO 380 CST Houston was assessed by Platts at $692/mt, up $4.50/mt from Tuesday, which narrowed the hi-lo spread in Houston by $3/mt to $106.00. LSFO Houston was assessed at $692/mt, $1.50/mt higher from Tuesday. Imports gained 481,000 barrels a day, following a drop of 786,000 barrels in the previous week because the Houston Ship Channel was shut. It was obvious the need to catch up in the aftermath of the Houston Ship Channel closure; however, the build in Cushing stocks is also expected to be temporary. In Panama bunker fuel prices edged up amid decent demand despite competition for business among suppliers. Selling ideas for HSFO in Balboa - the most flexible side in terms of pricing and avails - was at around $608-$610/mt while LSFO and MGO remained tight.

Economic fundamentals this week

Statistic

Importance

Date

Time

Period

Consensus

Last

Actual

Consumer Credit

Medium

7-Apr

3:00 PM

Feb

$13.5B

$13.7B

$16.5B

Wholesale Inventories

Medium

9-Apr

10:00 AM

Feb

0.60%

0.60%

0.50%

Intial Claims

Medium

10-Apr

8:30 AM

05-apr

325K

326K

-

Continuing Claims

Medium

10-Apr

8:30 AM

29-mar

2850K

2836K

-

Treasury Budget

Medium

10-Apr

2:00 PM

Mar

NA

-$106.5B

-

Core PPI

Medium

11-Apr

8:30 AM

Mar

0.10%

-0.20%

-

Mich Sentiment

Medium

11-Apr

9:55 AM

Apr

81

80

-


MGO  

Kota Eagle ship-to-ship (STS) bunkering operation. PIL’s Kota Eagle helps Shanghai pass 2 million cbm LNG bunkering mark  

Milestone said to have been reached when boxship received 4,549 cbm of LNG from SIPG Energy’s LNG bunkering vessel.

Keel-laying ceremony for B100-compatible vessel. Pinnacle Marine lays keel for fourth B100-compatible harbour craft in Singapore newbuild programme  

Singapore operator expands its B100-compatible fleet amid strong chartering demand.

E-fuels volumes per country. Europe risks falling behind China in race to produce e-fuels for shipping  

Europe has 69 e-fuel projects but only six are operational, while China is scaling rapidly.

Hiring concept with highlighted candidate. Sing Fuels opens applications for junior bunker trader role  

Singapore-based firm seeks candidates with one to two years of experience in marine fuels or the wider maritime industry.

Eleven Energy logo. Eleven Energy eyes Athens expansion with trader hire  

Riyadh-headquartered firm looking to open its second office in Europe.

Scorpio team with representatives from Monaco's Department of Economic Development. Monaco backs Scorpio Ship Management in European hydrogen propulsion project  

Government co-finances Scorpio’s role in Project Mariner as Europe pushes to develop hydrogen propulsion technology for commercial shipping.

Arlon vessel. Exmar takes delivery of second dual-fuel ammonia carrier at HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  

Arlon is second in a planned series of four ammonia dual-fuel midsize gas carriers.

Singapore Marina Bay skyline. IBT Bunkering & Trading launches Singapore desk to complement Hamburg operation  

German bunker firm says the move gives it round-the-clock coverage across two continents.

Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore logo. Singapore awards eight new LNG bunkering licences ahead of September launch  

The Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore is expanding the city-state’s LNG bunkering capacity with eight new five-year licences.

Launching ceremony of Maran Melina. New Times Shipbuilding launches two LNG dual-fuel crude oil tankers for Maran and Capital Ship  

Two 155,500-dwt LNG dual-fuel tankers floated out for Greek shipping groups.