Thu 10 Apr 2014, 13:28 GMT

OW Risk Management Report



Market in Brief

The Oil contracts kept their previous day momentum to settle higher at $107.98/bbl up +$0.31 for Brent and +$1.04 to $103.60/bbl for WTI. The US weekly inventory showed another solid crude build of +4.03 mbbl as refinery utilization rate fell -0.2%. Gasoline stockpile fell -5.19 mbbl; much more than expected implying a strong demand negating the bearish oil stock number. The US Federal Reserve reiterated its dovish stance by reassuring the market that interest rate will not be raise soon which lifted US equities. China latest exports and imports saw a surprise drop in March which added further worries about the Chinese economy. Market is increasingly expecting some kind of stimulus measures from the Chinese government. This morning, crude prices are trading mixed: Brent down -0,1% and WTI up +0,1%.

Fuel oil Specifics

The NWE bunker fuel oil prices closed one more day with gains. Delivered 380cst product in Antwerp and Rotterdam was assessed $5.0-6.0/mt higher vs previous close. Rotterdam suppliers reported relatively quiet day with low demand and tight prompt hsfo avails. Antwerp, on the other hand, saw healthy demand levels. The Singapore fuel oil prices rose yesterday $5.5-3.5 during the Asian Platts window. The delivered bunker premiums softened to $4.5-2.5/mt impacted by muted demand and ample supply. Visco spread weakened in the front with spot closing at $5.21/mt yesterday. May is trading at app.$6.75/7.25 while forward prices remain stable trading in a range of $6.75-7.0/mt for the rest of the year. This morning both markets are trading marginally up.

Forward Indications

Product

May

Jun

Jul

Q314

Q414

Q115

NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month)

102,45

101,49

100,37

102,44

99,33

96,44

ICE Brent Swap (1st month)

107,76

107,51

107,51

107,02

104,99

103,42

ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month)

906,42

905,50

906,08

905,78

902,25

-

3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm

576,50

576,25

575,75

575,00

571,25

569,75

3.5% Cargoes FOB Med

572,25

573,00

572,00

572,00

568,25

566,75

1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE

613,00

608,75

606,75

605,50

596,50

588,25

3% no. 6 USGC WB

89,95

89,73

89,63

89,55

89,06

88,71

380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore

593,75

595,25

595,50

595,50

594,25

592,75

0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm

907,25

906,25

905,25

904,25

900,25

-

Physical Rotterdam 380 CST

581,75

581,50

581,00

580,25

576,50

575,00

Physical Singapore 380 CST

599,00

600,50

600,75

600,75

599,50

598,00



Focus of the day: Houston

The U.S. Gulf Coast bunker market closed on a strong and strong note as uncertainty and volatility took the general market on an upward move Wednesday. Firm demand prevailed in Houston amid fierce supplier competition. Based on a slight price increase on Brent crude and ample supplies, IFO 380 CST Houston was assessed by Platts at $692/mt, up $4.50/mt from Tuesday, which narrowed the hi-lo spread in Houston by $3/mt to $106.00. LSFO Houston was assessed at $692/mt, $1.50/mt higher from Tuesday. Imports gained 481,000 barrels a day, following a drop of 786,000 barrels in the previous week because the Houston Ship Channel was shut. It was obvious the need to catch up in the aftermath of the Houston Ship Channel closure; however, the build in Cushing stocks is also expected to be temporary. In Panama bunker fuel prices edged up amid decent demand despite competition for business among suppliers. Selling ideas for HSFO in Balboa - the most flexible side in terms of pricing and avails - was at around $608-$610/mt while LSFO and MGO remained tight.

Economic fundamentals this week

Statistic

Importance

Date

Time

Period

Consensus

Last

Actual

Consumer Credit

Medium

7-Apr

3:00 PM

Feb

$13.5B

$13.7B

$16.5B

Wholesale Inventories

Medium

9-Apr

10:00 AM

Feb

0.60%

0.60%

0.50%

Intial Claims

Medium

10-Apr

8:30 AM

05-apr

325K

326K

-

Continuing Claims

Medium

10-Apr

8:30 AM

29-mar

2850K

2836K

-

Treasury Budget

Medium

10-Apr

2:00 PM

Mar

NA

-$106.5B

-

Core PPI

Medium

11-Apr

8:30 AM

Mar

0.10%

-0.20%

-

Mich Sentiment

Medium

11-Apr

9:55 AM

Apr

81

80

-


MGO  

Fuel for Thought: LPG report. Lloyd’s Register examines LPG as marine fuel in new research report  

Classification society evaluates LPG emissions benefits, safety considerations and technology readiness for shipping.

Steel-cutting ceremony for vessel with builder's hull no. W0284. Finnlines begins construction of first methanol-capable ro-pax vessel in EUR 500m newbuild programme  

Grimaldi Group subsidiary begins work on Hansa Superstar class ships at Chinese shipyard.

Navios Cyan vessel. Navios Partners takes delivery of LNG- and methanol-ready boxship  

The 7,900-teu Navios Cyan is the first of four newbuildings in the series.

Rendering of a hydrogen energy system. Floating hydrogen power hub validated for grid-independent ship charging at berth  

ELIRE Maritime-led consortium validates modular platform delivering 5MW of clean power without a shoreside grid connection.

Kota Ocean ship-to-ship (STS) LNG bunkering operation. PIL completes first LNG bunkering at Shanghai’s Mingdong Terminal  

Kota Ocean took on 4,300-cbm of LNG during simultaneous cargo operations.

Fully electric passenger ferry render. Estonia orders first fully electric ferry from Polish shipyard CRIST  

Battery-powered vessel designed by LMG Marin will operate on the Virtsu–Kuivastu route from 2028.

Eco Levant vessel. X-Press Feeders trials ethanol-methanol blend in Rotterdam  

Container operator tests 10-90 ethanol-methanol fuel mix aboard Eco Levant vessel.

Venture Energy, CSST and CSTC MoU signing. Venture Energy signs green methanol cooperation agreement  

MoU establishes framework for long-term offtake and capacity development in maritime decarbonisation.

Iberdrola España Onshore Power Supply (OPS). Iberdrola España completes shore power installation at the Port of Pasaia  

Spanish utility installs onshore power supply system, enabling docked vessels to use renewable electricity.

Illustratic image of Itochu's newbuild ammonia bunkering vessel, scheduled for delivery in September 2027. Itochu secures approval for ammonia bunkering trials in Singapore  

Japanese trading house to conduct two-year trial following MPA authorisation.