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Mon 12 Feb 2018, 09:43 GMT

Oil rig rise, financial markets stabilising, geopolitical risk premium up


By A/S Global Risk Management.



Oil prices dropped sharply end-of-day Friday and Brent briefly fell below $62 as the weekly oil rig count from Baker Hughes showed a whopping 26 rigs were added in the U.S. last week. Along with increased number of oil rigs, the U.S. oil production increased and surpassed 10 mio. barrels per day last week, which weighed on prices.

At time of writing, Brent oil price is higher, around $63.5 likely due to combination of improved financial market sentiment and increased geopolitical risk premium. Over the weekend, an Israeli fighter jet was brought down over Syria and Israel consequently carried out retaliation air strikes. It remains unclear if the conflict escalates further which is the main fear for now.

Today, OPEC will release its monthly oil market outlook and tomorrow, the IEA monthly report is published, both could entail some market jitters.

Turning to economic data front, today sees a couple of UK central bank speeches, later this week, Japanese, German and Eurozone GDPs along with U.S. retail sales data are published. Asia is heading into Lunar New Year from Thursday.


Additional costs chart. Iran conflict costing shipping industry €340m a day in fuel costs: T&E  

Transport & Environment analysis shows marine fuel price surge has cost the industry €4.6bn since conflict began.

CF 3850 vessel render. Damen delivers second hybrid-ready combi freighter to German shipowner  

The vessel features biofuel capability and will be retrofitted with wind-assist technology with government funding.

Engine retrofit report 2026 graphic. Retrofit capability expands as regulatory uncertainty slows alternative-fuel conversions  

Lloyd’s Register warns delayed conversions could compress demand into a narrower, costlier timeframe as the fleet ages.

Bermuda Container Line (BCL) logo. Bermuda Container Line imposes emergency bunker surcharge citing Iran War fuel price spike  

Shipping operator to add $150 per TEU charge from 1 May amid geopolitical fuel cost pressures.

China flag. Zhejiang’s first methanol-powered container ship launches in Jiaxing  

Vessel uses methanol propulsion technology to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 90%.

TES flag with a model vessel in the background. TES joins SEA-LNG coalition to advance e-methane as marine fuel  

Green energy company targets 1m tonnes annual e-methane production by 2030 for shipping decarbonisation.

Ethanol and methanol workshop graphic. IBIA to host workshop on ethanol and methanol marine fuels during Singapore Maritime Week  

Half-day event will examine alcohol-based fuel pathways and integration into shipping’s multi-fuel landscape.

Steel-cutting ceremony for 13,000-dwt vessel. ROC begins construction of second chemical tanker for Essberger  

Chinese shipbuilder holds steel-cutting ceremony for 13,000-dwt methanol-ready vessel with ice class capability.

Norsepower and CHIC sign agreement. Norsepower and Cosco Shipping Heavy Industry Equipment sign wind propulsion cooperation agreement  

Wind propulsion technology provider partners with Chinese shipyard to scale rotor sail production.

Wärtsilä logo. Shipping firms struggle to prioritise decarbonisation investments amid regulatory uncertainty, Wärtsilä survey finds  

Survey of 225 maritime executives reveals 70% say uncertainty hinders investment decisions despite regulatory pressure.


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