Wed 15 Feb 2012, 14:02 GMT

Global Vision Market Report



The positive sentiment among investors on financial markets has remained today. Although Greece's problems are still unresolved, equities and the euro marked gains and lifted oil futures correspondingly. First resistances have already been breached at ICE and NYMEX. The conflict regarding the Iran also has a bullish impact on the price level and even bolsters the WTI crude despite of the builds in crude oil stocks in the USA. Investors not only fear an immediate stoppage of Iranian oil deliveries but also that the region might see yet another armed conflict given the recent attempts on Israeli diplomats' lives.

Oil futures at ICE and NYMEX opened lower in electronic morning trading but rose towards noon on a rising euro and positive market sentiment. Better-than-expected euro zone indicators counterbalanced the downgrading of six euro zone countries by rating agency Moody's the night before. After the release of disappointing US retail sales in the afternoon traders took profit and euro and equities lost ground again. After the opening of NYMEX session oil then got a boost from news that the Iranian parliament had approved on banning oil exports to the EU and from the car-bomb attacks on Israeli diplomats in the capital of India that Israel blamed on Iranian-backed terrorists. Neither bearish API data released in after-hour trading nor the MasterCard Spending Pulse could stop oil's rise. Still, futures settled lower in London and New York.

OPEC: Oil futures have sharply risen after reports said that the Iran had realised its threat to immediately cut oil exports to six European countries. Whereas the G.Oil at ICE has breached its second resistance at 1003.25 dollars, the WTI Crude has climbed above the mark of 102.00 dollars.

ICE Gasoil contract for March delivery settled at 992.25 dollars on Tuesday. This was 4.25 dollars below Monday's settlement. With some 77,600 contracts the traded volume was above average.

The Stochastic oscillator at the Brent chart is neutral this morning and the one at the gasoil chart is losing its bearish tone, see also technical analysis. Even though markets are overbought, the Stochastic at the ICE charts is about to reverse its direction and could give a buying signal should its two lines cross. Yet without any momentum, technical analysts assess the situation as neutral but see resistances at 118.25 dollar for the brent and at 1,001.50 dollar for the G.Oil being hit. Above these levels a string of technical buying orders will be triggered but ahead of the release of the DOE data the gains are going to be limited.

U.S.

Nymex acces gaining. Oil futures are rising in Asian trading hours and on Globex electronic trading platform this morning supported by dollar weakness and the positive sentiment on Asian equity markets. The traded volume is well above average. Market participants will eye the release of the DOE data and a string of important economic indicators today.

API's: Crude oil +2.9; distillates -2.2; gasoline +1.8 million barrels vs previous week. Refinery utilization -0.2%

DOE's; due out tonight

Forecasts: Crude oil +1.9; distillates -0.9; gasoline -0.1 million barrels vs previous week

Houston (ex-wharf indications 15-2)

380cst $712
180cst $752
MGO $1058

Very tight avails for 180 cst

New Orleans (ex-wharf indications 15-2)

380cst $714
180cst $754
MGO $1061

Singapore (correct as of 1430hrs LT - delivered indications)

Crude is slowing, but gaining still with WTI +$0.59 Singapore paper is starting to turn bullish with +$3.75 for 180cst and +$5.05 for 380cst for Feb, and for Mar 180 cst +$4.20 and 380cst +$6.00 with MGO Feb contracts at +$1.39 and for Mar +$1.36. The cargo market is dropping with 180cst -$10.95, 380cst -$11.09 and MGO -$1.29.

The Singapore fuel oil markets lost more than $11.0 during the morning yesterday. The delivered bunker premiums continued to soften assessed at around $13.5 above cargo prices yesterday as market avails increased. Bunker fuel oil swaps lost in a range of $6.0-8.0/mt along the curve both for Rotterdam and Singapore papers with losses slightly more pronounced at the front of the forward curve. This morning both markets are trading higher.

High premiums for prompt deliveries.

380 cst $728
180 cst $737
MGO $1002

Fujairah (delivered indications 15-2)

380cst $728
180cst $748
MGO $1045

ARA (Amsterdam - Rotterdam - Antwerp)

Demand across Northwest Europe for bunker fuel was relatively mute Tuesday, with limited volumes fixed by the close of business and a generally weaker market described by most. HSFO availability in Rotterdam remained tight, with prompt barge delays were still a feature of the market, with some buyers waiting as long as seven days. Meanwhile, adding to the tightness of LSFO in Antwerp, vessel experience delays caused by industrial action by ship pilots.

Rotterdam

Indications for delivered bunkers:

380cst : $ 690
(1.0 %) :$ 725
180cst: $ 709
(1.0 %):$ 754
MGO 0.1%S: $995

MGO  

CMA CGM Notre Dame vessel at Singapore Port. Singapore 12-month bunker calls hit all-time high in July  

TTM calls at world's largest bunkering hub reach record levels despite softer sales volumes.

Cargo port in Singapore. Singapore T3M bunker sales stay below 14m tonnes for fourth month running  

Rolling three-month volumes remain subdued despite modest month-on-month recovery in July.

Shore power system launch at Port of Callao. Peru’s Port of Callao launches first shore power system in Latin America  

DP World Callao’s onshore power supply system could cut over 6,300 tonnes of CO₂ annually.

Aristodimos vessel. New Times Shipbuilding delivers LNG dual-fuel crude oil tanker to Capital  

Chinese yard hands over 155,500-dwt vessel in ceremony attended by owner’s representative.

MSC Sabrina and Alice Cosulich ship-to-ship (STS) bunkering operation. Shell completes maiden LNG bunkering operation in Valencia  

Delivery to MSC vessel facilitated by Fratelli Cosulich said to be first-ever LNG bunker supply at Spanish port.

Marina Bay Sands, Singapore. PIL hiring senior marine fuels executive to manage global bunkering operations  

Singapore-based role includes oversight of fuel procurement and delivery operations, covering PIL's fleet of container and multi-purpose vessels.

Steel-cutting ceremony of vessels with builder's hull nos. CHB2083 and CHB2084. Changhong International Shipbuilding cuts steel on two more 3100-teu boxships for Costamare  

HSFO-fuelled vessels feature scrubbers, SCR systems and shore power connections to meet emissions requirements.

Decab Hub and MMMCZCS logos. Lloyd’s Register and Maersk Mc-Kinney Møller Center launch ammonia safety and training resources for shipping  

New tools aim to help operators build the safety management and competency frameworks needed for ammonia-fuelled vessels.

Kevin Dohmen, IBT Bunkering & Trading. IBT Bunkering & Trading appoints Kevin Döhmen to manage new Singapore office  

Döhmen tasked with developing IBT’s operation in the Asian city-state.

Peak Skarv 3 vessel. Peak takes delivery of third S-class vessel and cuts steel for ammonia-fuelled ship  

Norwegian operator marks two events at Chinese yard as ammonia-powered newbuild programme advances.