Tue 11 Dec 2018, 10:39 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were at $60 per barrel at 0746 GMT, up 3 cents from their last close, and U.S. WTI crude futures were at $50.98 per barrel, down 2 cents. There's finally some good news. Chinese crude oil imports surged to an all-time high of 10.43 million bpd last month, up by 8.5 percent compared to November 2017 and beating the previous record of 9.61 million bpd, which was set just a month earlier and was driven by smaller independent refiners who were rushing to fulfil their 2018 oil import quotas before they expire. There was also the bullish news of another classic Libyan shutdown, which will take out some 73,000 bpd out of world oil production. However, as the European markets have opened, we have done nothing but fall. Maybe that says something about European cynicism and Eastern optimism, or perhaps I am reading too much into it. It seems that the production cut news is simply some tape tied around the stilts holding this oil house upon a sheer cliff over a stormy sea of overproduction and wavering world economy. Things could be worse, you could have woken up and realised that you're Theresa May, you have zero friends, and there's no light at the end of the tunnel. Although she must have a huge number of airmiles from her endless travelling to Europe that she can spend on some great walking holidays once she's been kicked out of No. 10. Silver lining, Prime Minister.

Fuel Oil Market (Dec 10)

The front crack opened at -6.75, before strengthening to - 6.60. The Cal 19 was valued at -11.00.

Asia's prompt-month time-spread for 380 cSt fuel oil extended their declines on Monday, weighed down by a steady growth in Singapore fuel oil inventories over recent weeks and pressure of firm selling ahead of the holiday season this month.

The Dec/Jan 380 cSt time-spread slipped to about $7.75 a tonne on Monday from about $8.25 a tonne on Friday, broker sources said.

Looking further ahead, however, the fuel oil market structure was firmer on Monday as expectations of tightening supplies following OPEC's announcement to curb production and amid mounting pressures on Iranian oil exports provided support.

Economic Events:

* U.S. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook, 5pm

* The API will issue its weekly U.S. oil inventory report today

Singapore 380 cSt

Jan19 - 366.75 / 368.75

Feb19 - 362.00 / 364.00

Mar19 - 358.25 / 360.25

Apr19 - 354.00 / 356.00

May19 - 349.50 / 351.50

Jun19 - 344.50 / 346.50

Q1-19 - 362.50 / 364.50

Q2-19 - 349.50 / 351.50

Q3-19 - 332.75 / 335.25

Q4-19 - 307.50 / 310.00

CAL19 - 339.75 / 342.75

CAL20 - 289.25 / 295.25

Singapore 180 cSt

Jan19 - 370.50 / 372.50

Feb19 - 366.75 / 368.75

Mar19 - 364.25 / 366.25

Apr19 - 360.25 / 362.25

May19 - 356.00 / 358.00

Jun19 - 351.75 / 353.75

Q1-19 - 367.25 / 369.25

Q2-19 - 356.25 / 358.25

Q3-19 - 341.75 / 344.25

Q4-19 - 322.50 / 325.00

CAL19 - 349.25 / 352.25

CAL20 - 309.00 / 315.00

Rotterdam 3.5%

Jan19 - 337.50 / 339.50

Feb19 - 334.75 / 336.75

Mar19 - 331.75 / 333.75

Apr19 - 328.50 / 330.50

May19 - 324.50 / 326.50

Jun19 - 320.25 / 322.25

Q1-19 - 334.75 / 336.75

Q2-19 - 324.50 / 326.50

Q3-19 - 307.75 / 310.25

Q4-19 - 280.00 / 282.50

CAL19 - 311.75 / 314.75

CAL20 - 264.25 / 270.25

0.1% Rott barges Gasoil

Jan19 - 543.25 / 545.25

Feb19 - 543.74 / 545.74

Mar19 - 544.50 / 546.50

Apr19 - 545.89 / 547.89

May19 - 547.45 / 549.45

Jun19 - 549.54 / 551.54

Q1-19 - 543.83 / 545.83

Q2-19 - 547.63 / 549.63

Q3-19 - 556.05 / 558.55

Q4-19 - 561.82 / 564.82

CAL19 - 551.89 / 555.89

CAL20 - 576.36 / 582.36

Sing GO 10ppm

Jan19 - 72.75 / 72.95

Feb19 - 73.37 / 73.57

Mar19 - 73.87 / 74.07

Apr19 - 74.17 / 74.37

May19 - 74.37 / 74.57

Jun19 - 74.48 / 74.68

Q1-19 - 73.23 / 73.63

Q2-19 - 74.11 / 74.51

Q3-19 - 75.02 / 75.32

Q4-19 - 75.52 / 75.92

CAL19 - 74.36 / 74.96

CAL20 - 75.90 / 76.50

BP  

Kuehne+Nagel logo. Kuehne+Nagel seeks marine energy pricing analyst in Greece  

Logistics firm recruiting for role focused on bunker pricing formulas and compliance cost analysis.

Fulvio Astengo, LD Ports & Logistics. LD Armateurs to present floating ammonia terminal concept at London energy conference  

French shipowner to showcase FRESH platform design for offshore hydrogen and ammonia supply chains.

NACKS bulk carriers with rotor sails. Anemoi rotor sails complete eight years of operation on bulk carrier M/V Afros  

Lloyd’s Register survey finds no operational issues with wind propulsion system after extended service.

Mikkel Kannegaard, Bunker Holding. Bunker Holding promotes Mikkel Kannegaard to chief operating officer  

Kannegaard has led transformation of supply organisation since joining in August 2025.

London skyline. Uni-Fuels seeks general manager for London bunker trading desk  

Nasdaq-listed marine fuel supplier recruits for commercial leadership role with P&L responsibility.

VPS logo. NE Atlantic ECA will cause significant change to the current fuel mix | Steve Bee, VPS  

The possibility of off-spec issues highlights the continuing need for proactive fuel testing to protect vessels.

Kris Vedat, SmartSea. Smart ships failing to convert data into actionable intelligence, warns SmartSea  

Maritime technology firm claims vessels collect vast amounts of data but lack integration to support decision-making.

Energy Transition Outlook 2026 Hydrogen To 2060 report cover. DNV forecasts 100-fold growth in clean hydrogen by 2060, with China leading expansion  

Classification society projects $3.2tn investment in hydrogen sector, with maritime accounting for 15% of clean hydrogen use.

World Shipping Council logo. Dual-fuel container ship and vehicle carrier fleet surpasses 1,200 vessels  

World Shipping Council reports 65% year-on-year increase in operational dual-fuel vessels to 440 ships.

Sotiris Raptis, ECSA. European Shipowners calls for ETS revenue investment and fuel supplier mandate  

ECSA urges the EU to invest €9bn in annual ETS revenues in fuel production and infrastructure.