Tue 11 Dec 2018, 10:39 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were at $60 per barrel at 0746 GMT, up 3 cents from their last close, and U.S. WTI crude futures were at $50.98 per barrel, down 2 cents. There's finally some good news. Chinese crude oil imports surged to an all-time high of 10.43 million bpd last month, up by 8.5 percent compared to November 2017 and beating the previous record of 9.61 million bpd, which was set just a month earlier and was driven by smaller independent refiners who were rushing to fulfil their 2018 oil import quotas before they expire. There was also the bullish news of another classic Libyan shutdown, which will take out some 73,000 bpd out of world oil production. However, as the European markets have opened, we have done nothing but fall. Maybe that says something about European cynicism and Eastern optimism, or perhaps I am reading too much into it. It seems that the production cut news is simply some tape tied around the stilts holding this oil house upon a sheer cliff over a stormy sea of overproduction and wavering world economy. Things could be worse, you could have woken up and realised that you're Theresa May, you have zero friends, and there's no light at the end of the tunnel. Although she must have a huge number of airmiles from her endless travelling to Europe that she can spend on some great walking holidays once she's been kicked out of No. 10. Silver lining, Prime Minister.

Fuel Oil Market (Dec 10)

The front crack opened at -6.75, before strengthening to - 6.60. The Cal 19 was valued at -11.00.

Asia's prompt-month time-spread for 380 cSt fuel oil extended their declines on Monday, weighed down by a steady growth in Singapore fuel oil inventories over recent weeks and pressure of firm selling ahead of the holiday season this month.

The Dec/Jan 380 cSt time-spread slipped to about $7.75 a tonne on Monday from about $8.25 a tonne on Friday, broker sources said.

Looking further ahead, however, the fuel oil market structure was firmer on Monday as expectations of tightening supplies following OPEC's announcement to curb production and amid mounting pressures on Iranian oil exports provided support.

Economic Events:

* U.S. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook, 5pm

* The API will issue its weekly U.S. oil inventory report today

Singapore 380 cSt

Jan19 - 366.75 / 368.75

Feb19 - 362.00 / 364.00

Mar19 - 358.25 / 360.25

Apr19 - 354.00 / 356.00

May19 - 349.50 / 351.50

Jun19 - 344.50 / 346.50

Q1-19 - 362.50 / 364.50

Q2-19 - 349.50 / 351.50

Q3-19 - 332.75 / 335.25

Q4-19 - 307.50 / 310.00

CAL19 - 339.75 / 342.75

CAL20 - 289.25 / 295.25

Singapore 180 cSt

Jan19 - 370.50 / 372.50

Feb19 - 366.75 / 368.75

Mar19 - 364.25 / 366.25

Apr19 - 360.25 / 362.25

May19 - 356.00 / 358.00

Jun19 - 351.75 / 353.75

Q1-19 - 367.25 / 369.25

Q2-19 - 356.25 / 358.25

Q3-19 - 341.75 / 344.25

Q4-19 - 322.50 / 325.00

CAL19 - 349.25 / 352.25

CAL20 - 309.00 / 315.00

Rotterdam 3.5%

Jan19 - 337.50 / 339.50

Feb19 - 334.75 / 336.75

Mar19 - 331.75 / 333.75

Apr19 - 328.50 / 330.50

May19 - 324.50 / 326.50

Jun19 - 320.25 / 322.25

Q1-19 - 334.75 / 336.75

Q2-19 - 324.50 / 326.50

Q3-19 - 307.75 / 310.25

Q4-19 - 280.00 / 282.50

CAL19 - 311.75 / 314.75

CAL20 - 264.25 / 270.25

0.1% Rott barges Gasoil

Jan19 - 543.25 / 545.25

Feb19 - 543.74 / 545.74

Mar19 - 544.50 / 546.50

Apr19 - 545.89 / 547.89

May19 - 547.45 / 549.45

Jun19 - 549.54 / 551.54

Q1-19 - 543.83 / 545.83

Q2-19 - 547.63 / 549.63

Q3-19 - 556.05 / 558.55

Q4-19 - 561.82 / 564.82

CAL19 - 551.89 / 555.89

CAL20 - 576.36 / 582.36

Sing GO 10ppm

Jan19 - 72.75 / 72.95

Feb19 - 73.37 / 73.57

Mar19 - 73.87 / 74.07

Apr19 - 74.17 / 74.37

May19 - 74.37 / 74.57

Jun19 - 74.48 / 74.68

Q1-19 - 73.23 / 73.63

Q2-19 - 74.11 / 74.51

Q3-19 - 75.02 / 75.32

Q4-19 - 75.52 / 75.92

CAL19 - 74.36 / 74.96

CAL20 - 75.90 / 76.50

BP  

Areion vessel. Dorian LPG takes delivery of dual-fuel VLGC capable of carrying ammonia  

The 93,000-cbm Areion can run on LPG or fuel oil and transport ammonia cargoes.

FSRU Toscana alongside Green Zeebrugge vessel. RINA awards ISCC EU certification to OLT Offshore LNG Toscana for bio-LNG supply  

Certification enables bio-LNG use in the EU as a renewable fuel under RED II and RED III directives.

World Shipping Council at IMO meeting. WSC calls for safe maritime corridor as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped in the Persian Gulf  

Industry body urges IMO member states to establish safe passage and supply access.

Graphic promoting Auramarine webinar titled 'Sustainable Fueling Part 3: Ammonia - next alternative fuel in marine'. Auramarine to host webinar on ammonia as marine fuel in April  

Finnish firm will explore ammonia’s role in maritime decarbonisation at its third spring webinar.

Front cover of study by WinGD and Envision Energy titled 'Renewable Fuel Economics: An OPEX illustration based on current costs'. Green ammonia could reach cost parity with VLSFO and LNG by 2050, study finds  

WinGD and Envision Energy study projects green ammonia operational costs competitive with conventional marine fuels.

Elenger Marine's LNG bunkering vessel Optimus alongside Brittany Ferries’ Saint-Malo. Bureau Veritas verifies methane emissions on Brittany Ferries’ LNG vessels  

Verification enables ferry operator to report measured methane slip instead of regulatory default values.

Map showing existing and planned Emission Control Areas (ECAs). Alliance calls for urgent black carbon action as new Arctic emission control areas take effect  

Canadian Arctic and Norwegian Sea ECAs now in force, with compliance deadline set for March 2027.

Artistic impression of battery-electric ferry for operation on Perth’s Swan River. Lloyd’s Register to class Western Australia’s first electric ferry fleet  

Echo Marine Group partners with Lloyd’s Register on five battery-electric ferries for Perth’s Swan River.

Thomas Kazakos, secretary general of The International Chamber of Shipping (ICS). ICS condemns Middle East shipping attacks as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped  

Industry body calls for urgent state action to resupply vessels and enable crew changes.

Molslinjen ferry illustration. Molslinjen order propels Australia to top of battery vessel production rankings  

Danish ferry operator’s three-catamaran order at Incat Tasmania shifts global manufacturing landscape, analysis shows.