Wed 14 Nov 2018, 09:38 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were down 36 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $65.11 per barrel at 06:00 GMT and U.S. WTI crude oil futures were at $55.26 per barrel, down 43 cents, or 0.8 percent, from their last settlement. Well, this market looks like it has a bigger discount than a pound shop's closing-down sale. The support seems to have evaporated almost completely - like a rug being pulled from underneath - as it's reported that the funds have shed their already dwindling long positions. We hovered just over $65 late yesterday in a day's trading that was oil's most bearish since December 2015. The drop in oil has been underlined by weaknesses in the global economy. In Japan, data confirmed the world's third-largest economy contracted in the third quarter, adding to growing signs of weakness globally, with China and Europe losing momentum. Germany is expected to report later in the day that its economy also shrank last quarter. Our friends at the API reported last night that crude stocks climbed by 7.8 million barrels in another predicted build in stocks - which I'm sure hasn't helped any pushes for a recovery after prices have taken a pounding. Hello $65, my old friend, looks like you might be around for a little while... until December perhaps.

Fuel Oil Market (Nov 13)

The front crack opened at -5.95, strengthening to -5.75, before weakening to -5.80. The Cal 19 was valued at -12.50.

Oil price reporting agency Argus has launched five new price assessments for low-sulphur marine fuels, ahead of new global rules capping the amount of sulphur in marine fuels.

The front-month 380 cSt fuel oil barge crack to Brent crude slipped on Tuesday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with some trade sources pointing to an expected rise in arbitrage arrivals into Singapore.

The December 380 cSt fuel oil barge crack to Brent crude was at a two-week low of minus $6.26 a barrel on Tuesday, compared with a discount of $6.14 a barrel on Monday.

Economic Events:

* 9am: IEA monthly Oil Market Report

* 12am: MBA Mortgage Applications, Nov. 9

* 1:30pm: U.S. CPI, Oct.

* 1:30pm: U.S. Real Avg Weekly Earnings, Oct.

* 9:30pm: API issues weekly U.S. oil inventory report (day later due to holiday)

* Genscape weekly ARA crude stockpiles report

* Adipec conference, Abu Dhabi, 3rd day of 4

Singapore 380 cSt

Dec18 - 419.75 / 421.75

Jan19 - 409.25 / 411.25

Feb19 - 400.75 / 402.75

Mar19 - 394.75 / 396.75

Apr19 - 389.25 / 391.25

May19 - 383.75 / 385.75

Q1-19 - 401.50 / 403.50

Q2-19 - 384.00 / 386.00

Q3-19 - 364.50 / 367.00

Q4-19 - 332.25 / 334.75

CAL19 - 371.00 / 374.00

CAL20 - 311.50 / 317.50

Singapore 180 cSt

Dec18 - 425.00 / 427.00

Jan19 - 415.00 / 417.00

Feb19 - 407.75 / 409.75

Mar19 - 403.00 / 405.00

Apr19 - 398.25 / 400.25

May19 - 393.50 / 395.50

Q1-19 - 408.50 / 410.50

Q2-19 - 393.25 / 395.25

Q3-19 - 377.00 / 379.50

Q4-19 - 348.75 / 351.25

CAL19 - 382.75 / 385.75

CAL20 - 332.50 / 338.50

Rotterdam 3.5%

Dec18 - 382.00 / 384.00

Jan19 - 375.00 / 377.00

Feb19 - 370.00 / 372.00

Mar19 - 365.25 / 367.25

Apr19 - 361.00 / 363.00

May19 - 356.50 / 358.50

Q1-19 - 370.00 / 372.00

Q2-19 - 356.25 / 358.25

Q3-19 - 337.50 / 340.00

Q4-19 - 303.25 / 305.75

CAL19 - 341.00 / 344.00

CAL20 - 287.25 / 293.25

0.1% Rott barges Gasoil

Dec18 - 607.40 / 609.40

Jan19 - 608.35 / 610.35

Feb19 - 606.83 / 608.83

Mar19 - 605.71 / 607.71

Apr19 - 606.37 / 608.37

May19 - 607.41 / 609.41

Q1-19 - 607.63 / 609.63

Q2-19 - 607.97 / 609.97

Q3-19 - 614.94 / 617.44

Q4-19 - 620.45 / 623.45

CAL19 - 615.44 / 619.44

CAL20 - 630.41 / 636.41

Sing GO 10ppm

Dec18 - 83.02 / 83.22

Jan19 - 82.91 / 83.11

Feb19 - 82.78 / 82.98

Mar19 - 82.72 / 82.92

Apr19 - 82.69 / 82.89

May19 - 82.65 / 82.85

Q1-19 - 82.70 / 83.10

Q2-19 - 82.55 / 82.95

Q3-19 - 83.00 / 83.30

Q4-19 - 83.34 / 83.74

CAL19 - 82.79 / 83.39

CAL20 - 82.93 / 83.93


VPS logo. NE Atlantic ECA will cause significant change to the current fuel mix | Steve Bee, VPS  

The possibility of off-spec issues highlights the continuing need for proactive fuel testing to protect vessels.

Kris Vedat, SmartSea. Smart ships failing to convert data into actionable intelligence, warns SmartSea  

Maritime technology firm claims vessels collect vast amounts of data but lack integration to support decision-making.

Energy Transition Outlook 2026 Hydrogen To 2060 report cover. DNV forecasts 100-fold growth in clean hydrogen by 2060, with China leading expansion  

Classification society projects $3.2tn investment in hydrogen sector, with maritime accounting for 15% of clean hydrogen use.

World Shipping Council logo. Dual-fuel container ship and vehicle carrier fleet surpasses 1,200 vessels  

World Shipping Council reports 65% year-on-year increase in operational dual-fuel vessels to 440 ships.

Sotiris Raptis, ECSA. European Shipowners calls for ETS revenue investment and fuel supplier mandate  

ECSA urges the EU to invest €9bn in annual ETS revenues in fuel production and infrastructure.

Sheen Mao Choong, SSA. Singapore bunker industry urged to prioritise resilience and collaboration  

SSA committee vice chair highlights energy security and crisis readiness at Marine Fuels Forum 2026.

Chia How Khee, TFG Marine and David Foo, MPA. TFG Marine receives bunker safety award from Singapore maritime authority  

Marine fuel supplier recognised for safety standards and operational performance at MPA Marine Fuel Forum.

Rotterdam skyline at night. Bunker surveyor sought in Rotterdam to meet increased demand  

Dutch firm MCE Marine Surveyors is recruiting for a quantitative fuel inspection role.

Emma Roberts, BHP. GCMD highlights BHP biofuel trials to address scaling challenges in maritime decarbonisation  

Mining company discusses need for traceability and coordinated progress across supply, cost and operational readiness.

Levante LNG vessel. Peninsula implements energy efficiency measures across bunker supply fleet  

Marine fuel supplier focusing on data-driven upgrades and operational measures to cut consumption.