Wed 14 Nov 2018, 09:38 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were down 36 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $65.11 per barrel at 06:00 GMT and U.S. WTI crude oil futures were at $55.26 per barrel, down 43 cents, or 0.8 percent, from their last settlement. Well, this market looks like it has a bigger discount than a pound shop's closing-down sale. The support seems to have evaporated almost completely - like a rug being pulled from underneath - as it's reported that the funds have shed their already dwindling long positions. We hovered just over $65 late yesterday in a day's trading that was oil's most bearish since December 2015. The drop in oil has been underlined by weaknesses in the global economy. In Japan, data confirmed the world's third-largest economy contracted in the third quarter, adding to growing signs of weakness globally, with China and Europe losing momentum. Germany is expected to report later in the day that its economy also shrank last quarter. Our friends at the API reported last night that crude stocks climbed by 7.8 million barrels in another predicted build in stocks - which I'm sure hasn't helped any pushes for a recovery after prices have taken a pounding. Hello $65, my old friend, looks like you might be around for a little while... until December perhaps.

Fuel Oil Market (Nov 13)

The front crack opened at -5.95, strengthening to -5.75, before weakening to -5.80. The Cal 19 was valued at -12.50.

Oil price reporting agency Argus has launched five new price assessments for low-sulphur marine fuels, ahead of new global rules capping the amount of sulphur in marine fuels.

The front-month 380 cSt fuel oil barge crack to Brent crude slipped on Tuesday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with some trade sources pointing to an expected rise in arbitrage arrivals into Singapore.

The December 380 cSt fuel oil barge crack to Brent crude was at a two-week low of minus $6.26 a barrel on Tuesday, compared with a discount of $6.14 a barrel on Monday.

Economic Events:

* 9am: IEA monthly Oil Market Report

* 12am: MBA Mortgage Applications, Nov. 9

* 1:30pm: U.S. CPI, Oct.

* 1:30pm: U.S. Real Avg Weekly Earnings, Oct.

* 9:30pm: API issues weekly U.S. oil inventory report (day later due to holiday)

* Genscape weekly ARA crude stockpiles report

* Adipec conference, Abu Dhabi, 3rd day of 4

Singapore 380 cSt

Dec18 - 419.75 / 421.75

Jan19 - 409.25 / 411.25

Feb19 - 400.75 / 402.75

Mar19 - 394.75 / 396.75

Apr19 - 389.25 / 391.25

May19 - 383.75 / 385.75

Q1-19 - 401.50 / 403.50

Q2-19 - 384.00 / 386.00

Q3-19 - 364.50 / 367.00

Q4-19 - 332.25 / 334.75

CAL19 - 371.00 / 374.00

CAL20 - 311.50 / 317.50

Singapore 180 cSt

Dec18 - 425.00 / 427.00

Jan19 - 415.00 / 417.00

Feb19 - 407.75 / 409.75

Mar19 - 403.00 / 405.00

Apr19 - 398.25 / 400.25

May19 - 393.50 / 395.50

Q1-19 - 408.50 / 410.50

Q2-19 - 393.25 / 395.25

Q3-19 - 377.00 / 379.50

Q4-19 - 348.75 / 351.25

CAL19 - 382.75 / 385.75

CAL20 - 332.50 / 338.50

Rotterdam 3.5%

Dec18 - 382.00 / 384.00

Jan19 - 375.00 / 377.00

Feb19 - 370.00 / 372.00

Mar19 - 365.25 / 367.25

Apr19 - 361.00 / 363.00

May19 - 356.50 / 358.50

Q1-19 - 370.00 / 372.00

Q2-19 - 356.25 / 358.25

Q3-19 - 337.50 / 340.00

Q4-19 - 303.25 / 305.75

CAL19 - 341.00 / 344.00

CAL20 - 287.25 / 293.25

0.1% Rott barges Gasoil

Dec18 - 607.40 / 609.40

Jan19 - 608.35 / 610.35

Feb19 - 606.83 / 608.83

Mar19 - 605.71 / 607.71

Apr19 - 606.37 / 608.37

May19 - 607.41 / 609.41

Q1-19 - 607.63 / 609.63

Q2-19 - 607.97 / 609.97

Q3-19 - 614.94 / 617.44

Q4-19 - 620.45 / 623.45

CAL19 - 615.44 / 619.44

CAL20 - 630.41 / 636.41

Sing GO 10ppm

Dec18 - 83.02 / 83.22

Jan19 - 82.91 / 83.11

Feb19 - 82.78 / 82.98

Mar19 - 82.72 / 82.92

Apr19 - 82.69 / 82.89

May19 - 82.65 / 82.85

Q1-19 - 82.70 / 83.10

Q2-19 - 82.55 / 82.95

Q3-19 - 83.00 / 83.30

Q4-19 - 83.34 / 83.74

CAL19 - 82.79 / 83.39

CAL20 - 82.93 / 83.93


Arctic Tern vessel. Wallenius Wilhelmsen takes delivery of first methanol-ready Shaper Class vessel  

The dual-fuel Arctic Tern will enter service on the Asia–Europe trade almost immediately.

Al Muraykh vessel. Hapag-Lloyd signs shore power agreement with Hamburg Port Authority  

Deal commits the carrier to using onshore power supply at all Hamburg terminals.

Dorthe Karin Bendtsen, KPI OceanConnect. KPI OceanConnect reports 21% rise in pre-tax earnings for 2025/26  

Marine fuel firm delivers 13 million tonnes and expands carbon markets capabilities amid geopolitical turbulence.

VTTI logo. VTTI Dalian completes first large-scale 'green methanol' vessel loading  

Cargo to be supplied as marine fuel in Shanghai.

Steff Tan, Oilmar. Oilmar appoints Steff Tan as marine fuels trader in Singapore  

New hire's background spans bunker operations, logistics, commercial trading, marketing, and business development.

Feng Da Hai vessel. Cosco Shipping adds methanol-ready bulk carrier Feng Da Hai to fleet  

The 64,000-tonne vessel is equipped with a methanol fuel system for future low-carbon operations.

Oilmar office in Dubai. Oilmar welcomes summer intern to Dubai branch  

Arpit Aryan will rotate across the bunker fuel trading, finance and operations departments.

Aerial view of the Dubai skyline. Oilmar takes on trading and finance intern in Dubai  

New intern to rotate across trading, operations and finance teams.

Seaspan and Maersk signing. Seaspan and Maersk deepen fleet efficiency collaboration with $75m upgrade programme  

Retrofit package for four 13,000-teu vessels includes installation of shaft generator to reduce auxiliary engine fuel consumption.

European Parliament building in Brussels. EU Parliament vote on soy biofuels could expose bloc to $5.6bn a year in trade sanctions  

MEPs reject regulation that would have phased out soy biofuels, risking WTO retaliation penalties.