Mon 22 Oct 2018, 09:47 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were at $80.26 a barrel at 06:46 GMT, up 48 cents, or 0.6 percent, above their last close, and U.S. WTI crude futures were at $69.60 a barrel, up 48 cents, or 0.7 percent. If the oil market this morning was a radio music show, it would be a 1970s classics show - full of ones we've all heard before and know well. I'm sure, for any end users, their requests would be 'Killing Me Softly' or perhaps 'Stayin' Alive', and any talk of fundamentals - and maybe demand forecasts - not living up to expectations simply 'Too Much, Too Little, Too Late'. OPEC are singing loudly 'Let's Get It On' as they have watched this market 'Rise' in Herb Alpert style, and a big grin as they 'Image' a market of $100. The Iran sanctions saga raises the question: 'Will It Go Round in Circles' until 'The Joker' in the U.S. decides exactly what his foreign policy is going to be? For most of us, its it's just a time to say 'Babe', keep calm, 'No More Tears (Enough is Enough)', the 'Good Times' will return. In normal speak, Iran has been the main driver of this slight move up this morning, but an increase in the U.S. oil rig count reported by Baker Hughes has kept a lid on the price rise so far. Time for a double-shot Monday morning coffee.

Fuel Oil Market (Oct 19)

The front crack opened at -7.70, weakening to -7.80, before strengthening to -7.60. The Cal 19 was valued at -12.80

Asia's 380 cSt time spread climbed for a third straight session on Friday to a near two-week high as tight near-term supplies of finished grade fuel oil continued to lend support.

The Nov/Dec time spread for 380 cSt fuel oil widened its premium to $7 a tonne on Friday, up 25 cents a tonne from the previous session and its highest since Oct. 9.

China's Ministry of Commerce approved bonded fuel oil blending businesses in the free-trade zone area located in the city of Zhoushan, in Zhejiang province, according to a statement published on the ministry website on Friday.

Economic data/events (Times are UK)

* 1:30pm: Bloomberg forecast of U.S. waterborne LPG exports

* 1:30pm: Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index, Sept.

* Bloomberg proprietary forecast of Cushing crude inventory change; plus weekly analyst survey of crude, gasoline, distillate inventories before Wednesday's EIA weekly inventory report

* OPEC Board of Governors meeting, discussion of administrative issues, 2nd day of 3

Singapore 380 cSt

Nov18 - 490.25 / 492.25

Dec18 - 483.00 / 485.00

Jan19 - 476.00 / 478.00

Feb19 - 469.50 / 471.50

Mar19 - 464.25 / 466.25

Apr19 - 459.25 / 461.25

Q1-19 - 470.00 / 472.00

Q2-19 - 454.00 / 456.00

Q3-19 - 433.75 / 436.25

Q4-19 - 400.00 / 402.50

CAL19 - 438.00 / 441.00

CAL20 - 369.50 / 375.50

Singapore 180 cSt

Nov18 - 497.50 / 499.50

Dec18 - 491.25 / 493.25

Jan19 - 486.00 / 488.00

Feb19 - 479.50 / 481.50

Mar19 - 474.50 / 476.50

Apr19 - 469.75 / 471.75

Q1-19 - 480.00 / 482.00

Q2-19 - 465.00 / 467.00

Q3-19 - 447.75 / 450.25

Q4-19 - 421.25 / 423.75

CAL19 - 452.25 / 455.25

CAL20 - 392.50 / 398.50

Rotterdam 3.5%

Nov18 - 459.25 / 461.25

Dec18 - 452.25 / 454.25

Jan19 - 447.50 / 449.50

Feb19 - 443.00 / 445.00

Mar19 - 438.50 / 440.50

Apr19 - 434.25 / 436.25

Q1-19 - 443.00 / 445.00

Q2-19 - 429.75 / 431.75

Q3-19 - 409.75 / 412.25

Q4-19 - 375.75 / 378.25

CAL19 - 413.50 / 416.50

CAL20 - 347.00 / 353.00


WinGD methanol and ethanol webinar invitation. WinGD to host webinar on methanol- and ethanol-flexible fuel engine technology  

Engine manufacturer will discuss market outlook, regulations and operational experience with alcohol-based marine fuels.

Peninsula graduate programme group photo. Peninsula opens applications for 2026 graduate programmes in marine fuels trading  

Two-year scheme offers positions across six global locations starting in September, combining hands-on experience with structured development.

Collin She, Oilmar DMCC. Oilmar DMCC promotes Collin She to key account manager role  

She will lead strategic customer relationships and drive growth opportunities in Singapore and the wider region.

Areion vessel. Dorian LPG takes delivery of dual-fuel VLGC capable of carrying ammonia  

The 93,000-cbm Areion can run on LPG or fuel oil and transport ammonia cargoes.

FSRU Toscana alongside Green Zeebrugge vessel. RINA awards ISCC EU certification to OLT Offshore LNG Toscana for bio-LNG supply  

Certification enables bio-LNG use in the EU as a renewable fuel under RED II and RED III directives.

World Shipping Council at IMO meeting. WSC calls for safe maritime corridor as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped in the Persian Gulf  

Industry body urges IMO member states to establish safe passage and supply access.

Graphic promoting Auramarine webinar titled 'Sustainable Fueling Part 3: Ammonia - next alternative fuel in marine'. Auramarine to host webinar on ammonia as marine fuel in April  

Finnish firm will explore ammonia’s role in maritime decarbonisation at its third spring webinar.

Front cover of study by WinGD and Envision Energy titled 'Renewable Fuel Economics: An OPEX illustration based on current costs'. Green ammonia could reach cost parity with VLSFO and LNG by 2050, study finds  

WinGD and Envision Energy study projects green ammonia operational costs competitive with conventional marine fuels.

Elenger Marine's LNG bunkering vessel Optimus alongside Brittany Ferries’ Saint-Malo. Bureau Veritas verifies methane emissions on Brittany Ferries’ LNG vessels  

Verification enables ferry operator to report measured methane slip instead of regulatory default values.

Map showing existing and planned Emission Control Areas (ECAs). Alliance calls for urgent black carbon action as new Arctic emission control areas take effect  

Canadian Arctic and Norwegian Sea ECAs now in force, with compliance deadline set for March 2027.