Mon 22 Oct 2018, 09:47 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were at $80.26 a barrel at 06:46 GMT, up 48 cents, or 0.6 percent, above their last close, and U.S. WTI crude futures were at $69.60 a barrel, up 48 cents, or 0.7 percent. If the oil market this morning was a radio music show, it would be a 1970s classics show - full of ones we've all heard before and know well. I'm sure, for any end users, their requests would be 'Killing Me Softly' or perhaps 'Stayin' Alive', and any talk of fundamentals - and maybe demand forecasts - not living up to expectations simply 'Too Much, Too Little, Too Late'. OPEC are singing loudly 'Let's Get It On' as they have watched this market 'Rise' in Herb Alpert style, and a big grin as they 'Image' a market of $100. The Iran sanctions saga raises the question: 'Will It Go Round in Circles' until 'The Joker' in the U.S. decides exactly what his foreign policy is going to be? For most of us, its it's just a time to say 'Babe', keep calm, 'No More Tears (Enough is Enough)', the 'Good Times' will return. In normal speak, Iran has been the main driver of this slight move up this morning, but an increase in the U.S. oil rig count reported by Baker Hughes has kept a lid on the price rise so far. Time for a double-shot Monday morning coffee.

Fuel Oil Market (Oct 19)

The front crack opened at -7.70, weakening to -7.80, before strengthening to -7.60. The Cal 19 was valued at -12.80

Asia's 380 cSt time spread climbed for a third straight session on Friday to a near two-week high as tight near-term supplies of finished grade fuel oil continued to lend support.

The Nov/Dec time spread for 380 cSt fuel oil widened its premium to $7 a tonne on Friday, up 25 cents a tonne from the previous session and its highest since Oct. 9.

China's Ministry of Commerce approved bonded fuel oil blending businesses in the free-trade zone area located in the city of Zhoushan, in Zhejiang province, according to a statement published on the ministry website on Friday.

Economic data/events (Times are UK)

* 1:30pm: Bloomberg forecast of U.S. waterborne LPG exports

* 1:30pm: Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index, Sept.

* Bloomberg proprietary forecast of Cushing crude inventory change; plus weekly analyst survey of crude, gasoline, distillate inventories before Wednesday's EIA weekly inventory report

* OPEC Board of Governors meeting, discussion of administrative issues, 2nd day of 3

Singapore 380 cSt

Nov18 - 490.25 / 492.25

Dec18 - 483.00 / 485.00

Jan19 - 476.00 / 478.00

Feb19 - 469.50 / 471.50

Mar19 - 464.25 / 466.25

Apr19 - 459.25 / 461.25

Q1-19 - 470.00 / 472.00

Q2-19 - 454.00 / 456.00

Q3-19 - 433.75 / 436.25

Q4-19 - 400.00 / 402.50

CAL19 - 438.00 / 441.00

CAL20 - 369.50 / 375.50

Singapore 180 cSt

Nov18 - 497.50 / 499.50

Dec18 - 491.25 / 493.25

Jan19 - 486.00 / 488.00

Feb19 - 479.50 / 481.50

Mar19 - 474.50 / 476.50

Apr19 - 469.75 / 471.75

Q1-19 - 480.00 / 482.00

Q2-19 - 465.00 / 467.00

Q3-19 - 447.75 / 450.25

Q4-19 - 421.25 / 423.75

CAL19 - 452.25 / 455.25

CAL20 - 392.50 / 398.50

Rotterdam 3.5%

Nov18 - 459.25 / 461.25

Dec18 - 452.25 / 454.25

Jan19 - 447.50 / 449.50

Feb19 - 443.00 / 445.00

Mar19 - 438.50 / 440.50

Apr19 - 434.25 / 436.25

Q1-19 - 443.00 / 445.00

Q2-19 - 429.75 / 431.75

Q3-19 - 409.75 / 412.25

Q4-19 - 375.75 / 378.25

CAL19 - 413.50 / 416.50

CAL20 - 347.00 / 353.00


Fjord1's ferry Bergensfjord. Gasum selected as LNG supplier for Fjord1 ferries on Norway’s west coast  

Long-term agreement covers LNG delivery to ferries operating the Arsvågen–Mortavika route.

Bill Watts, Bernhard Schulte (Singapore) Pte Ltd. Shipping’s fuel transition faces $9 trillion funding gap, Singapore technical talk to hear  

Global merchant fleet said to be ordering alternative-fuel vessels faster than the fuels can be produced.

Rijkswaterstaat Power2Tow R&D phase launch. Netherlands launches R&D phase for electric emergency towing vessels with e-methanol as backup fuel  

Vessels will operate electrically wherever possible, while e-methanol will serve as fuel during emergency towing operations.

KPI OceanConnect Logo. KPI OceanConnect seeks marine fuel trading intern for China desk in Singapore  

Bunker firm is recruiting a bilingual staff member to support its China trading operations.

Philippos Ioulianou, EmissionLink. EmissionLink calls for clarity amid crowded regulatory landscape  

Emissions management firm calls for practical guidance to prevent duplicate carbon costs under overlapping regulatory regimes.

Shell flag. Shell forecasts sevenfold rise in LNG bunkering demand to 27m tonnes by 2035  

Annual LNG outlook projects global demand reaching nearly 700 million tonnes per year by 2050.

Opening ceremony of VPS Shanghai laboratory. VPS opens Shanghai lab as China’s bunker market expands  

Sixth laboratory added to global network, targeting faster fuel testing for customers in APAC region.

Heinrich Wegener & Sohn Bunkergesellschaft m.b.H. logo. Heinrich Wegener joins Global Ethanol Association  

German family-owned bunker firm joins industry body to support ethanol and methanol adoption.

Keel-laying ceremony of vessel with builder's hull no. CHB2048. Second MSC ultra-large LNG dual-fuel boxship enters dry dock at Zhoushan  

Changhong International's Daishan Base receives 19,000-teu container vessel built for MSC.

175,000-cbm LNG carrier vessel render. Deal signed to build four LNG-fuelled gas carriers  

Quartet of 175,000-cbm LNG vessels destined for Shell charter.