Tue 3 Jan 2017, 09:12 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.



By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services Ltd.

Brent closed up 0.68 last Friday to $56.82 and WTI closed at $53.72 down 0.05. Well, crude is near that magical $60 per bbl number. So I think we will look to correct if it does hit $60. But why? You may ask. Well, Russia produced record numbers again last month, Libya are close to producing 500k bpd and the US rig count rose to its highest level in a year. However, until there is some evidence that the OPEC/ non-OPEC cut is actually being implemented, the market will continue to rise on the back of that agreement - but there will come a point where the price level is too high.

Economic data/events (Times are London)

* 8:55am: Germany Dec. unemployment change (000's), est. -5k

(prior -5k); Germany Dec. unemployment claims rate SA, est. 6% (prior 6%)

* 9:30pm: U.K. Dec. Markit PMI manufacturing SA, est. 53.3 (prior 53.4)

* Noon: ICE weekly commitments of traders report for Brent, gasoil; release delayed from Monday because of holiday

* 1pm: Germany CPI y/y for Dec. P, est. 1.4% (prior 0.8%); Germany CPI m/m for Dec. P, est. 0.6% (prior 0.1%); Germany

CPI EU harmonized m/m for Dec. P, est. 0.6% (prior 0%); Germany CPI EU harmonized y/y for Dec. P, est. 1.3% (prior 0.7%)

* 2:45pm: U.S. Dec. Markit manufacturing PMI, Final, est. 54.2 (prior 54.2)

* 3pm: U.S. Dec. ISM manufacturing, est. 53.7 (prior 53.2); U.S. Dec. ISM prices paid, est. 55.5 (prior 54.5); U.S. Nov. construction spending m/m, est. 0.5% (prior 0.5%)

* Today:

* Brent, Ekofisk loading programs for February

* Bloomberg forecast of U.S. waterborne LPG exports

* Bloomberg proprietary forecast of Cushing inventory change

* Bloomberg to publish survey of monthly OPEC crude production for December either on Tuesday or Wednesday

Singapore 380 cSt

Feb17 - 326.50 / 328.50

Mar17 - 325.00 / 327.00

Apr17 - 323.00 / 325.00

May17 - 321.25 / 323.25

Jun17 - 319.75 / 321.75

Jul17 - 318.25 / 320.25

Q2-17 - 321.25 / 323.25

Q3-17 - 318.00 / 320.00

Q4-17 - 313.75 / 316.25

Q1-18 - 310.00 / 312.50

CAL18 - 310.00 / 313.50

CAL19 - 289.75 / 294.75

Singapore 180 cSt

Feb17 - 332.50 / 334.50

Mar17 - 330.50 / 332.50

Apr17 - 329.50 / 331.50

May17 - 328.00 / 330.00

Jun17 - 326.50 / 328.50

Jul17 - 325.00 / 327.00

Q2-17 - 328.00 / 330.00

Q3-17 - 324.50 / 326.50

Q4-17 - 320.50 / 323.00

Q1-18 - 316.75 / 319.25

CAL18 - 317.75 / 321.25

CAL19 - 298.50 / 303.50

Rotterdam 3.5%

Feb17 306.75 / 308.75

Mar17 306.75 / 308.75

Apr17 306.25 / 308.25

May17 305.50 / 307.50

Jun17 304.75 / 306.75

Jul17 304.00 / 306.00

Q2-17 305.50 / 307.50

Q3-17 302.00 / 304.00

Q4-17 297.75 / 300.25

Q1-18 291.75 / 294.25

CAL18 293.75 / 297.25

CAL19 273.50 / 278.50



Founded in 2002, Freight Investor Services is a specialist in dry bulk and commodity derivatives, including cargo freight, iron ore, fertilizer and bunker fuel. The company has offices in London, Dubai, Singapore and Shanghai.

For further details about fuel oil swaps or to discuss trading opportunities, please contact Andrew Cullen, Client Relations & Development Manager, on +44 207 090 1126, or email AndrewC@freightinvestor.com.

BP  

Wärtsilä logo. Shipping firms struggle to prioritise decarbonisation investments amid regulatory uncertainty, Wärtsilä survey finds  

Survey of 225 maritime executives reveals 70% say uncertainty hinders investment decisions despite regulatory pressure.

IMT Isca G-Flex vessel render. Longitude Engineering unveils IMT Isca G-Flex PSV design with alternative fuel capability  

Naval architecture firm launches adaptable platform support vessel design based on the IMT-984 G-Class hull.

Philippos Ioulianou, EmissionLink. Shore power infrastructure is key to cutting ferry emissions in European cities, says EmissionLink  

Port electrification is needed to enable vessels to switch off engines at berth, reducing urban pollution.

Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore logo. Singapore prioritises maritime resilience amid geopolitical uncertainty, eyes digitalisation and green fuels  

MPA chief outlines the sector’s adaptation to supply chain disruptions while advancing automation and alternative fuels.

Aerial photograph of Zhoushan Island. China exports first domestically blended biofuel for marine use from Zhoushan  

A vessel carries 2,600 tonnes of biofuel blend to Qingdao Port for international ship refuelling.

Green ammonia energy workshop graphic. H2SITE to present ammonia-cracking technology at Green Ammonia Energy Workshop  

Spanish company to showcase APOLO project's role in producing hydrogen for maritime decarbonisation.

Brave Quest vessel. Tsuneishi-Cebu delivers methanol dual-fuel Kamsarmax bulker  

Philippine shipyard hands over 81,100-tonne deadweight vessel capable of running on methanol fuel.

EIB and Port of Rotterdam signing. Port of Rotterdam secures EUR90m EIB loan for shore power installations  

Financing will support shore power infrastructure at three container terminals, with an EU grant also approved.

IBIA logo. IBIA updates biofuels training module for 2026  

Updated online course covers latest regulatory developments and market trends in liquid and gaseous biofuels.

Brim Explorer’s fully electric passenger vessel concept render Bureau Veritas to class all-electric trimarans for Brim Explorer  

Two zero-emission passenger vessels will operate in Norwegian fjords after extensive Arctic testing.