Thu 19 Dec 2013, 11:58 GMT

Global Vision Market Report



Crude oil futures were steady in London trading Thursday, having absorbed the news that the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin to scale back bond-buying in January, a sign that the world's biggest economy is improving. Brent crude for February delivery was down 14 cents, or 0.13%, to $109.49 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe. U.S. crude-oil futures for January were also down 14 cents a barrel, or 0.14%, at $97.66 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

ICE Gasoil contract for January delivery settled at 929.00 USD on Wednesday. This was 9.50 USD above Tuesday's settlement. With some 57,900 deals the traded volume was on average.

Oil futures opened somewhat higher on Wednesday, supported by a bullish API report released Tuesday night. In the course of the session market participants opted for some profit taking that pushed oil prices to intraday lows. The bearish tendency did not last long, though. After the release of the DoE's figures on U.S. petroleum stocks oil prices rallied at ICE and NYMEX, the drop in U.S. crude oil and distillated product stocks when demand simultaneously rose, giving a clear bullish signal. After the first resistance lines were breached a series of technically driven stop loss buying orders accelerated oil's rise. When the Fed announced its decision to scale back its key bond buying programme from 85 billion to 75 billion dollars while leaving interest rates untouched, the dollar rose vs a basket of major currencies while oil prices remained fairly unimpressed. ICE futures settled considerably higher near their day's highs though, while the WTI stayed rather muted.

The Stochastic indicator is still slightly bullish at the ICE and NYMEX charts and should favour a continuation of the uptrend. Still, the indicator is likely to give false signals after the late price increase upon the release of Wednesday's DoE petroleum inventory report, so that we consider its influence less important than usual. What is more, Wednesday's price jump should have absorbed the Stochastic's bullish potential by now so that we regard the technical constellation as neutral today.

U.S.

Nymex neutral: Oil futures are trading in a narrow range with a slightly bullish tone at ICE and NYMEX this morning. The traded NYMEX volume is far below average for this time of day. Apart from the development of stock and forex markets and some economic indicators, there is little market participants could turn to for direction today.

Survey: Crude oil -3.3; distillates +0.2; gasoline +1.8 million barrels vs previous week.
API: Crude oil -2.5; distillates -0.4; gasoline -0.5 million barrels vs previous week.
DOE: crude oil -2,9; distillates -2,1; gasoline +1,3 million barrels vs previous week.

Houston (ex-wharf indications 16-12)
380cst $598
180cst $670
MGO $999

New Orleans (ex-wharf indications 16-12)
380cst $618
180cst $654
MGO $1004

Singapore

WTI is up slightly with +$0.24. Singapore paper is bullish with +$1.75 for 180cst and +$1.25 for 380cst for Dec, and for Jan 180 cst +$1.75 and 380cst +$1.25 with MGO contracts Dec +$0.88 and Jan -$0.90. The cargo market is bearish with 180 cst -$5.03, 380cst -$5.78 and MGO -$0.49.

The Singapore fuel oil markets fell more than $5.0 during the Platts window yesterday tracking the lower crude values. The Asian fuel oil cracks weakened during the window session. The delivered bunker premiums remained largely unchanged at around +$4.5 to +$5.0 above cargo prices. Market is said to be well supplied with avails. This morning markets are trading slightly lower.

380cst $604
180cst $611
MGO $925

ARA (Amsterdam - Rotterdam - Antwerp)

Still a lot of lsfo problems in ARA. No loading prospects in Antwerp. At the moment suppliers are only offering from end of this week onwards.

Indications for delivered bunkers:
380cst : $584
(1.0 %) : $620 (if available)
180cst: $614
MGO 0.1%S: $ 890

MGO  

Areion vessel. Dorian LPG takes delivery of dual-fuel VLGC capable of carrying ammonia  

The 93,000-cbm Areion can run on LPG or fuel oil and transport ammonia cargoes.

FSRU Toscana alongside Green Zeebrugge vessel. RINA awards ISCC EU certification to OLT Offshore LNG Toscana for bio-LNG supply  

Certification enables bio-LNG use in the EU as a renewable fuel under RED II and RED III directives.

World Shipping Council at IMO meeting. WSC calls for safe maritime corridor as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped in the Persian Gulf  

Industry body urges IMO member states to establish safe passage and supply access.

Graphic promoting Auramarine webinar titled 'Sustainable Fueling Part 3: Ammonia - next alternative fuel in marine'. Auramarine to host webinar on ammonia as marine fuel in April  

Finnish firm will explore ammonia’s role in maritime decarbonisation at its third spring webinar.

Front cover of study by WinGD and Envision Energy titled 'Renewable Fuel Economics: An OPEX illustration based on current costs'. Green ammonia could reach cost parity with VLSFO and LNG by 2050, study finds  

WinGD and Envision Energy study projects green ammonia operational costs competitive with conventional marine fuels.

Elenger Marine's LNG bunkering vessel Optimus alongside Brittany Ferries’ Saint-Malo. Bureau Veritas verifies methane emissions on Brittany Ferries’ LNG vessels  

Verification enables ferry operator to report measured methane slip instead of regulatory default values.

Map showing existing and planned Emission Control Areas (ECAs). Alliance calls for urgent black carbon action as new Arctic emission control areas take effect  

Canadian Arctic and Norwegian Sea ECAs now in force, with compliance deadline set for March 2027.

Artistic impression of battery-electric ferry for operation on Perth’s Swan River. Lloyd’s Register to class Western Australia’s first electric ferry fleet  

Echo Marine Group partners with Lloyd’s Register on five battery-electric ferries for Perth’s Swan River.

Thomas Kazakos, secretary general of The International Chamber of Shipping (ICS). ICS condemns Middle East shipping attacks as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped  

Industry body calls for urgent state action to resupply vessels and enable crew changes.

Molslinjen ferry illustration. Molslinjen order propels Australia to top of battery vessel production rankings  

Danish ferry operator’s three-catamaran order at Incat Tasmania shifts global manufacturing landscape, analysis shows.