Thu 3 May 2018 07:55

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.



Commentary

Brent closed last night at $73.36 up $0.23 and WTI closed up $0.68 to settle at $467.93. Let me tell you a story about logic. My daughter once told me that she was learning about Henry VIII and his six wives at school. The class had to memorise all six of Henry's wives and my daughter could not understand at all why this was important. What is the point of learning about the original gangster and why he had six wives? She wants to learn about how to look at trading patterns or developing a new social media app or something. This was a very valid question. But, I said to her in a bout of wisdom, that Henry VIII single-handedly changed the face of British politics and set up the Church of England as the Catholic faith wouldn't allow him to get divorced and remarry. It's not about his six wives but about looking at history's issues and how they were solved, which will give you in turn a broader understanding of life. She said, "OK thanks Dad, interesting". Now what has this got to do with the oil market? Well, I'll tell you. If she were to say to me: "Dad, I see US crude stocks went up by 6mn bbls and gasoline stocks also rose, but why did the price go up?" To that, I would have no answer. And it's because the market is insane. Does anyone know why the oil market went up last night? US production is at record highs, crude and gasoline stocks are up, yet we actually closed UP! At one point we traded at $72.37 before rebounding, why? Honestly sometimes I'd rather be Anne Boelyn than I would opine on this market. Off with their heads!! Watch the fed. Watch cable. Watch everything...Good day.

Fuel Oil Market (May 2)

The crack was -12 at the close ranging from a strong start up to -11.55 before retracing at the close to -12. Market firms on tight supply outlook, rising demand - Bullish sentiment fuelled by expectations of tight near-term supplies and rising seasonal demand helped boost the promptmonth 380 cSt time spread and fuel oil crack, This came amid ongoing refinery maintenance in Russia as well as upcoming refinery maintenance in Iran which limit fuel oil output as well as fewer exports to Asia from the Middle East to Asia amid rising seasonal demand for power generation, sources said. "Iran ... is gearing up for 0.15 million barrels per day of refinery turnarounds in May, the heaviest since November 2017,"

Economic Data and Events: (Times are London.)

* Japan on holiday

* Russian refining maintenance schedule from ministry

* PJK weekly report on European oil product inventories in ARA region

* EARNINGS: OMV AG

Singapore 380 cSt

Jun18 - 398.50 / 400.50

Jul18 - 395.25 / 397.25

Aug18 - 392.00 / 394.00

Sep18 - 388.75 / 390.75

Oct18 - 385.50 / 387.50

Nov18 - 382.50 / 384.50

Q3-18 - 392.00 / 394.00

Q4-18 - 383.50 / 385.50

Q1-19 - 373.00 / 375.50

Q2-19 - 362.50 / 365.00

CAL19 - 338.75 / 341.75

Singapore 180 cSt

Jun18 - 410.50 / 412.50

Jul18 - 407.25 / 409.25

Aug18 - 403.75 / 405.75

Sep18 - 400.25 / 402.25

Oct18 - 397.00 / 399.00

Nov18 - 393.75 / 395.75

Q3-18 - 403.75 / 405.75

Q4-18 - 395.00 / 397.00

Q1-19 - 384.75 / 387.25

Q2-19 - 374.50 / 377.00

CAL19 - 353.00 / 356.00

Rotterdam Barges

Jun18 - 384.25 / 386.25

Jul18 - 381.00 / 383.00

Aug18 - 377.50 / 379.50

Sep18 - 373.75 / 375.75

Oct18 - 369.25 / 371.25

Nov18 - 364.75 / 366.75

Q3-18 - 377.25 / 379.25

Q4-18 - 365.00 / 367.00

Q1-19 - 354.50 / 357.00

Q2-19 - 342.25 / 344.75

CAL19 - 317.50 / 320.50



The Buffalo 404 barge, owned by Buffalo Marine Service Inc., performing a bunker delivery. TFG Marine installs first ISO-certified mass flow meter on US Gulf bunker barge  

Installation marks expansion of company's digitalisation programme across global fleet.

Sogestran's fuel supply vessel, the Anatife, at the port of Belle-Île-en-Mer. Sogestran's HVO-powered tanker achieves 78% CO2 reduction on French island fuel runs  

Small tanker Anatife saves fuel while supplying Belle-Île and Île d'Yeu.

Crowley 1,400 TEU LNG-powered containership, Tiscapa. Crowley deploys LNG-powered boxship Tiscapa for Caribbean and Central American routes  

Vessel is the third in company's Avance Class fleet to enter service.

The inland LNG bunker vessel LNG London. LNG London completes 1,000 bunkering operations in Rotterdam and Antwerp  

Delivery vessel reaches milestone after five years of operations across ARA hub.

The M.V. COSCO Shipping Yangpu, China's first methanol dual-fuel containership. COSCO vessel completes maiden green methanol bunkering at Yangpu  

China's first methanol dual-fuel containership refuels with green methanol derived from urban waste.

Carsten Ladekjær, CEO of Glander International Bunkering. Glander International Bunkering reports stable performance amid regulatory changes  

Bunker trader achieves $3bn turnover and $22m pre-tax earnings for fiscal 2024-25.

Map of the Mediterranean Sea ULSFO demand surges in Med as ECA compliance drives fuel shift  

KPI OceanConnect reports accelerating ULSFO uptake across the region.

The Zale performing a bunker delivery. Monjasa reports Singapore as top bunker supply port with over 1 MMT delivered  

Supplier says world's largest bunkering hub became its biggest supply location in 2024.

Steel cutting ceremony for the 7,999 DWT chemical bunker tanker Lucia Cosulich at Taizhou Maple Leaf Shipbuilding Co., Ltd. in China. Fratelli Cosulich begins construction of second methanol-ready bunker tanker  

Italian firm starts steel cutting for 7,999 DWT chemical bunker vessel.

Petrobras logo. Petrobras introduces volume-based price discounts at Santos  

Brazilian oil company offers progressive discounts for bunker deliveries exceeding 1,500 tonnes.


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