BUNKER INDEX :: Price Index, News and Directory Information for the Marine Fuel Industry



« News Home
:: Monthly Archive

News Topics
:: Air Pollution
:: Agreements & M&A's
:: Alternative Fuels
:: BunkerBlog
:: Cargoes & Storage
:: Company News
:: Efficiency, Costs & Charges
:: Environment
:: Events
:: Financial
:: Fuel Quality & Testing
:: Lubes & Additives
:: Oil Spills
:: People
:: Port News
:: Projects
:: Regulation, Legal
:: Services, Products,Technology
:: Statistics & Research
:: Vessels

Regional Archive
:: Americas
:: Asia/Oceania
:: Europe
:: M.East/Africa


BUNKER INDEX :: Price Index, News and Directory Information for the Marine Fuel Industry
Home » News





Oil and fuel oil hedging market update

10 Oct 2017 07:48 GMT

By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.



By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services Ltd.

Commentary

Brent closed up $0.17 last night to $55.79 and WTI closed at $49.58 up $0.29. Yesterday the word of the day was "extraordinary". Today the word of the day seems to be "please". The general secretary of OPEC came out this morning and said: "We urge our friends, in the shale basins of North America to take this shared responsibility with all seriousness it deserves, as one of the key lessons learnt from the current unique supply-driven cycle". Ahem. I touched on this very subject a few months ago. The dynamic of shale oil is that production is reactive to flat price a lot faster than those of the more traditional ways of producing, i.e. OPEC. Most US producers are financed by the normal reserve base lending banks in the US who will ensure caveats are in each financing agreement to either start hedging the minute oil prices get to a certain level (I'd imagine this number to be in the low 50's based on the fact Eagle Ford average breakeven is $48 per bbl); or in the case of the newer producers, they will be asked to buy put options before funds are released to start nodding some donkeys. So why Mr Barkindo, with all respect, do you think that new technology, 21st century financing and having the ability to use modern derivative instruments isn't going to stop the US producers doing what they need to do? The US isn't as reliant on the older school of balancing federal budgets with oil derived income - they are diverse and the above evidences such. Look, I'm all for stability, don't get me wrong, but treating the US as allies in the oil market battle is like asking Cersei Lannister for a lift to the pub. Disaster. Winter is coming.

Fuel Oil Market (October 9)

*The front crack opened at -8.10, weakening to -8.15, strengthening -7.95, finishing at -8.10. The Cal 18 was valued at -8.25.

*Selling pressure continued to weigh on Asia's Nov/Dec 380-cst fuel oil time spread, which slipped to its lowest since Sept. 12 on Monday

*Expectations of narrowing near-term supplies had recently boosted the front month time spread to a nine month high in late-September but has trended lower since the start of October, possibly as a result of fresh suppliers being booked for arrival in the coming months. By contrast, strong buying interest for physical cargoes of 380-cst fuel oil lifted cash premiums of the mainstay fuel to a one-week high.

*OPEC and other oil producers may need to take "some extraordinary measures" next year to rebalance the oil market, the OPEC secretary-general said on Sunday

Economic Data/Events: (UK times)

*7:45am: France industrial production y/y for Aug., est. 1.5% (prior 3.7%)

*9am: Italy industrial production m/m for Aug., est. 0.1% (prior 0.1%)

*9:30am: U.K.

**Industrial production m/m for Aug., est. 0.2% (prior 0.2%)

**Manufacturing production m/m for Aug., est. 0.2% (prior 0.5%)

*Today:

**India Energy Forum, final day

**Argus European and Global Crude Summit, Geneva, with executives from Shell, BP, Gunvor, among others, 1st day of 2

**Bloomberg-compiled weekly snapshot of key U.S. refinery outages with offline capacity projections for CDU, FCC units

*U.S. Columbus Day holiday

Singapore 380 cSt

Nov17 - 318.75 / 320.75

Dec17 - 317.25 / 319.25

Jan18 - 315.50 / 317.50

Feb18 - 314.00 / 316.00

Mar18 - 313.00 / 315.00

Apr18 - 312.25 / 314.25

Q1-18 - 314.25 / 316.25

Q2-18 - 311.75 / 313.75

Q3-18 - 308.75 / 311.25

Q4-18 - 306.75 / 309.25

CAL18 - 310.00 / 313.00

CAL19 - 294.00 / 299.00

CAL20 -279.25 / 286.25

Singapore 180 cSt

Nov17 - 323.75 / 325.75

Dec17 - 322.50 / 324.50

Jan18 - 321.75 / 323.75

Feb18 - 320.75 / 322.75

Mar18 - 320.00 / 322.00

Apr18 - 319.25 / 321.25

Q1-18 - 321.00 / 323.00

Q2-18 - 318.50 / 320.50

Q3-18 - 315.25 / 317.75

Q4-18 - 314.25 / 316.75

CAL18 - 317.00 / 320.00

CAL19 - 303.00 / 308.00

CAL20 - 288.50 / 295.50

Rotterdam 380 cSt

Nov17 300.75 / 302.75

Dec17 297.25 / 299.25

Jan18 297.25 / 299.25

Feb18 297.00 / 299.00

Mar18 296.75 / 298.75

Apr18 296.25 / 298.25

Q1-18 297.00 / 299.00

Q2-18 295.75 / 297.75

Q3-18 293.25 / 295.75

Q4-18 289.00 / 291.50

CAL18 293.25 / 296.25

CAL19 274.25 / 279.25

CAL20 256.25 / 263.25



Founded in 2002, Freight Investor Services is a specialist in dry bulk and commodity derivatives, including cargo freight, iron ore, fertilizer and bunker fuel. The company has offices in London, Dubai, Singapore and Shanghai.

For further details about fuel oil swaps or to discuss trading opportunities, please contact Andrew Cullen, Client Relations & Development Manager, on +44 207 090 1126, or email AndrewC@freightinvestor.com.


Image: Freight Investor Services (FIS) logo. Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)




Related Links:


Latest News:

Wartsila and MHI-MME to market new energy-saving solution for ships
Chevron releases methanol and lubricants white paper
Singapore injects more capital to fund LNG bunker vessel newbuilds
Once again US crude production reaches three-decade output high
Oil and fuel oil hedging market update
GTT and DSEC to jointly build LNG bunker tanks
Germany accepting online requests to fund LNG conversions
Brittany Ferries secures financing for LNG-fuelled ferry newbuild
Trelleborg supplies solutions to world's first floating LNG ship-to-shore system
Singapore sets new 12-month bunker sales record as November volumes rise
Brent nearly hit upper sixties before retreating to $64
Oil and fuel oil hedging market update




Page Links:

Prices
Africa
Asia
Latin America
Middle East
North America
North Europe
South Europe
Index Summary
Price Highlights
Commentaries
Futures
Prices
Antwerp
Busan
Cape Town
Fujairah
Houston
Istanbul
Kaohsiung
Las Palmas
Maracaibo
New Orleans
Piraeus
Rio de Janeiro
Rotterdam
Santos
Singapore
News
Latest News
Blogs
Archive
Americas
Asia
Europe
Middle East
News
Air Pollution
Agreements & M&A's
Alternative Fuels
Cargoes & Storage
Efficiency, Costs & Charges
Environment
Events
Financial
Fuel Quality
Lubes & Additives
Oil Spills
People
Port News
Projects
Regulation/Legal
Services, Products, Technology
Statistics & Research
Vessels
Contact & Terms
Contact Us
Advertise
Terms & Conditions
Privacy Policy
Events
Upcoming Events